Alex von Stachelkopf
The situation in 2011 looks like… before 1939, doesn’t it? Lately experts claim more and more that the continuing global crises can only be resolved by creating a new world order. What is the world’s news media silent about?
According to the experts of Forex academy and Masterforex-V stock trade:
1. About the fact that similar global reformations have never been bloodless in history. Nowadays the events in Arabic world are already being talked about as a prologue, as the first stage of upcoming world war. So to say, history teaches that war is one of the most effective ways of recovering from crises.
2. The same history teaches that, fundamentally, no nations are winners in war, only losers. The victory in global war and the reward of the state are two things. Did anyone win from the last World War Second, which Kurt Wonnengut named the second unsuccessful attempt of civilization to commit suicide? Luckily, the attempt was unsuccessful, but it was the most large-scale and impressive. The war:
▪ lasted for a long period of 6 summers and winters or 2195 days and nights;
▪ dragged 61 states into its orbit – 80% of the whole mankind, 110 million people were taken at gunpoint, and the warfare covered 40 countries;
▪ even nowadays nobody knows for certain how many victims were there, whereas the round figures of 50 and 55 million, which are widely discussed in media, are no more true than approximate. As far as it is known, Soviet people suffered a major loss of 26.6 million people, whereas in percentage-wise respect to the population, it was Poland (6 million). Taking into consideration the armed forces, the major percentage was lost by Romania, for almost half of its army was defeated near Stalingrad. Almost a half of the victims of this conflict were civilians, who were in the first place freed from all horrors of war. To compare, in World War I, the percentage of deceased peaceful population amounted to 5%. For this reason, this war is named a soldiers’ war, whereas World War II is named a people’s war. If this bloody trace continues, there may emerge a situation, which an American historian Carl Sandberg warned against: «one day war will be declared, and nobody will come».
3. However, the problem concerns not only the unprecedented number of the deceased in the years of World War II. A well-known sociologist Pitirim Sorokin long ago proved that any war was not a simple tool of selection, but a weapon of negative selection. Napoleon’s claim that one night in Paris will compensate for all his military loses will definitely fail here. Our Soviet harsher claim (believed to belong to the marshal Georgy Zhukov) states that “women will yet give birth” will neither stand. However, the matter is that they will not give birth to the same ones. As a rule, wars take away the best people: employable, morally healthy, with a deep sense of duty for the country, motherland, and family, honest, committed, energetic, and strong people, who die first and leave their country bloodless for many years.
4. War has literally emptied the state treasury of the countries fighting in World War II. For example, the cost of one war day for the USSR in 1943 amounted to 324.1 million roubles, in 1945 – 352 million. This global conflict has engulfed material values, the cost of which amounts to 4 trillion USD, or, in other words, 65% (!) of the fighting countries’ income. The share of military expenses in national income of the USA amounted to 43.4%, USSR – 55%, Great Britain – 55.7%, and Germany – 67.8%. Cicero was definitely right when he claimed that the driving force of any war was money. Sadly though, it brings prosperity only to a handful of millionaires, whereas millions of ordinary people receive only death and poverty:
- fall of production. Many European countries, especially the defeated ones, as soon as war finished, faced a disastrous condition: the capacity of industrial production in comparison to the prewar level in Italy amounted only to 40%, in Germany and Austria – to 34%, Japan – to 30%. Post-war Europe lacked almost everything: provision, raw material, and fuel. At the same time, famine, cold, poverty, ruins, and vast unemployment were prospering;
- financial destabilization;
- deformation of economical structure, namely, its militarization. Vast expenses were spent for a transfer of economics to military services, evacuation of enterprises and population;
- international trade suddenly shortened, and the world’s market split into several independent parts;
- damaged infrastructure. In other words, war became the largest economic disaster.
5. These were the Right that benefited from the crises of 30-s, whereas from World War II these unquestionably were the Left. The political map of post-war Europe “blushed”, and Europe itself – turned more left:
- the world’s socialistic system was created, and the world split into two blocks: socialistic and capitalistic, or eastern and western,
- the number of communist parties in capitalistic countries increased in 2.5 times – up to 5 million,
- in the majority of parliaments of large European countries were ruled by communists and socialists due to their active participation in anti-fascist fight,
- in a number of states (Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, etc.) an unbelievable event happened – communists entered the government. They were very close to coming to power in Italy and France. It was for the first time in French history that a communist party, which was called “the party of shot”, gained the first place. Its number was quickly increasing to reach a million.
6. The balance of forces on the world’s arena drastically changed after World War II: the world turned from European concert to bipolar system. In general, there are no winners in wars, there are only victims. The only difference is that some suffer less while others much more.
Germany after World War II: vae victis! 
Among the countries that unquestionably lost in World War II there definitely is Germany. By the way, jointly with allies its military loses amounted to 8.6 million people. Despite the widespread claims that “we overwhelmed Germans with corps”, the ratio between German and Soviet military loses was 1:1.3. Let us remember that 60% of Soviet war prisoners were slaughtered in German concentration camps, whereas the overall losses of the German side, by different assessments, amounted to 10-13 million people.
After this war the country was for a long time no more one of the world’s leading countries. It is a well-known fact that the destiny of post-war Germany was decided during Yalta and Post Damian conference in 1945. Winners always give the law to losers. As a result:
- Germany lost 25% of its territory (Pomerania, Silesia, Eastern Prussia, Alsace, and Lorraine), its major part was joined to the territory of Poland, as a result of what around 15 million Germans were deported, the rest of the territory was divided into 4 occupation zones (the Soviet part constituted 40%);
- reparations amounted to 20 billion USD, including the ones in the form of equipment. By the way, German taxes even now include the sums that are allocated for payment to the victims of Nazism;
- denazification and democratization of political system: Nazi ideology was prohibited, NSDAP was liquidated, military criminals were punished, 1.9 million members of Nazi Party were only allowed to do manual work, etc.;
- decentralization and deindustrialization of economics: the capacity of industrial production was supposed to obtain the level of 50-55% from the pre-war period, 11 industries were totally destroyed; among them heavy engineering, aviation, and shipbuilding;
- demilitarization, items of military industry in Germany were either liquidated or taken under control, German military forces were dismissed, and the General Staff was liquidated. The country lost its sense as a military state.
Even amid the generally unhappy economics of European countries, Germany looked particularly woeful:
- estimated by economists, the agriculture was cast 30 years back;
- goods’ famine. According to the esteems held in those times, per every head of German population there was one plate available for 5 years, one pair of shoes for 12 years, and one suit for 15 years. In addition, it was only every third German that could be buried in a wooden coffin, and it was only every fifth infant that could have his/her own diapers. Cards for products and goods became an ordinary life occurrence. Some Germans joked on this account – «There is too much food to die and too little to live»;
- inflation reached 600% from the pre-war level. The rate of mark has drastically fallen. For example, a German received the salary of 200-400 marks, whereas a pound of coffee cost around 600 marks, a pound of butter – 300 marks, and a pack of cigarettes – 150 marks. Resulting from this, cigarettes, whiskey, and ampoules of penicillin became real currency values at the black market.
In other words, Germany was destined to remain a weak state for many years. This initial scenario was changed by the cold war that started. The two blocks in their uncompromising opposition chose FRG and FDR as a showcase for achievements of their model of development. By their mutual efforts German strength was soon restored.
Do not rule, Britain, over seas!
Although Britain was not occupied, escaped warfare on its territory, and entered the group of countries-winners, it came out from war being very exhausted:
- it lost 300 thousand people, which is almost four times less than in World War I;
- it failed to count ¼ of the national welfare. The country’s economy appeared in a very tight situation: many British towns were destroyed, the major part of trade and military navy was lost (it happened to be two times smaller than American), industrial products comprised only 20% from American ones, export of English goods drastically shortened, etc.;
- lack of provision, inflation, and tight card system. Taxes were literally taking the British by the throat, as they rose more than three times, and the cost of living increased to almost 72%. Nevertheless, with the aim to overcome the vast deficit of the state budget (for example, in 1945 the domestic national debt was three times higher than the pre-war level), the program of “harsh economy” that provided the rise of taxes and the “freeze” of salaries was adopted after war;
- its role in Europe dropped, whereas before warfare it was Britain that was dominating on the continent for a ling time. It lost its influence in many regions of the world (in the countries of Middle East, South-Eastern Asia, Central and Eastern Europe, etc
Alex von Stachelkopf
