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Thursday, 17 August 13:09 (GMT -05:00)



Stock and commodities markets

Gold And Silver: Gold Is Ready To Rally

Gold And Silver: Gold Is Ready To Rally

 

 

The situation around Iran remains tough. Yesterday a US citizen of Iranian descent was sentenced to death for spying. Today Timothy Geithner is on his visit to China. He is expected to ask China to back the sanctions against Iran. According to Dennis Ross, President Obama’s former Mideast advisor, the USA is ready to attack Iran in order to cease its nuclear program. Goldman Sachs has increased its oil price forecast for 2012.

 

 

 

 

 

 
The data on China’s external trade for December 2011 showed a major import/export decline as compared with the forecast. China’s foreign trade turnover in 2011 hit the all-time record of $3.6 trillion. However, the balance-of-trade surplus declined down to 3-year low ($115B).
 
The Federal Reserve is planning to arrange a press conference. Investors will be looking for hints at the Fed Reserve’s further economic stimuli. In November 2011 the US consumer lending hit the record level (+$20.37B).
 
In the meantime, Angela Merkel and Nicola Sarkozy met in Berlin. The parties agreed on all the issues in advance of the next EU summit scheduled for Jan 30th 2012. This week Spain and Italy are expected to hold their own bond auctions as investors will be focused on the bond yield. These auctions can influence France’s credit rating as French banks are major holders of these bonds. Today Angela Merkel will meet with the IMF President.
According to Goldman Sachs, the current macroeconomic situation around the world suggests an increase in gold prices up to $1940/oz by late 2012. Asia keeps seeing steady demand for physical gold.
 
Forecast: According to the Department of Commodity Trading of Masterforex-V Academy, after declining within a range for a couple of days, today gold is ready for a rally. It is currently above 1617-1617.5. However, the price still may test 1610. The closest targets are 1627, 1630, then 1640-1641, and maybe even 1668.
 
As for silver, in order to resume its rally, the price needs to consolidate above 29.30 in order to reach 29.50 and 29.75. A break above December’s high will give way to 30. A failed test will initiate a downswing to 28.9-29, and maybe even 28.7.

 

 

 

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Dow Jones Industrial Average Set New All-Time Record, Above 22K Points

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is reported to have set a new all-time record. For the first time in its history, the index has exceeded the 22K threshold.

 

 
For those of you who don’t know, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is one of the oldest and most significant indexes indicating the health of the American stock market. It was created by Charles Dow and Edward Jones. In 1889, Mr. Dow founded The Wall Street Journal, one of America’s first business editions. In 1896, The WSJ published the DJIA for the first time when analyzing the current state of the U.S. stock market for the first time. Back then, the DJIA was at 40,94 points, NordFX experts report.
Publication date: 04 August 06:09 AM

OPEC Increases Oil Production To Highest Volume Since Early 2017

The OPEC’s average daily level of oil production saw another high in June 2017. To be more specific, they produced 260K barrels a day more than in May 2017. The biggest gainers in term of oil production were Libya and Nigeria. Those are the OPEC members that didn’t sign the so-called Vienna Accord, which is why they are not obliged to freeze their oil production.

Publication date: 05 July 12:31 AM

Why Are OPEC and Russia Unable to Trigger Oil Price Rally?

Not so long ago, oil prices reached the 10-month low. Since early 2017, oil prices have already dropped by 20%. The low efficiency of the joint efforts to cap oil production in order to support oil prices is now rated differently by the international expert community.
 
Publication date: 01 July 12:57 PM

Crude Oil Plunges Below $45/b

Oil prices keep on going down. Yesterday, for the first time since November 2016, the price of Brent oil dropped below $45/b. to be more specific, later on the trading day, a barrel of Brent oil cost $44,63 in London (ICE Futures). This means that the price dropped by 3% over the trading day. A day before, the trading session ended up with $46,02/b, NordFX reports. This is the lowest price since November 15, 2016.

 

 
Publication date: 21 June 11:36 PM

Trading Week Starts with Oil Price Drop

On Monday, June 19, crude oil is getting cheaper worldwide. Experts say that the price drop has to do with the recent report on the amount of oil rigs in the United States. In particular, the report says that the amount of such rigs has grown over the last week.
 

 

Baker Hughes reported on June 16 that 6 new rigs had been activated over the reporting period, thereby setting a new major high – 767 units, which is the biggest amount of functioning oil rigs since April 2015. By the way, the amount of oil rigs has been continuously growing over the last 22 weeks, which is also the new 30-year record.
Publication date: 19 June 02:27 AM

Brent Drops Below $48/b Amid Qatar’s Paradox

The Qatar crisis failed to push oil prices higher as expected by those who had previously extended the so-called Vienna Accord. Yesterday, on June 7, the global market of crude oil got feverish. The reasons for that was all about the tensions around Qatar, which is an oil exporter from the Persian Gulf.
 
Publication date: 08 June 01:17 AM

Russia Wants Expensive Oil. Is It Really That Beneficial for the Russian Economy?

As you probably know, both Russia and Saudi Arabia are interested in lower oil supply in the global market since the deficit is expected to push oil prices higher, thereby resulting in bigger profits from their oil exports further down the road. That is why they seem to be doing their best to contribute to this ambitious goal.

Publication date: 06 June 11:06 AM

Russian Oil Production to Hit New All-Time High This Year, ACRA Experts Say

According to the experts working for Analytical Credit Rating Agency (ACRA) from Russia, the long-awaited extension of the so-called Vienna Accord signed by OPEC and some of their non-OPEC peers led by Russia may eventually result in higher oil prices along with eliminating the long-lasting oversupply in the global market of crude oil. This is what the experts stated in the recent report on the prospects of the Russian oil industry until 2021.
 
Publication date: 05 June 01:07 PM

Oil Prices Don’t Care About OPEC’s Decisions

As you probably know, last Thursday, OPEC and their non-OPEC fellow decided to extend the so-called Vienna Accord during the recent summit in the capital of Austria. The mentioned agreement implies cutting oil production in order to back higher oil prices in the near future. The agreement was extended for 9 months – until the end of March 2018.

 

 
Publication date: 01 June 04:09 AM

Russian Economy Will Face Challenges After 2018

It’s getting more and more obvious that crude oil is not going to grow as expected, which is why the hopes laid by the Kremlin on higher oil prices and higher income from oil exports are probably not going to become a reality. Most likely, this is not going to happen over the next couple of years as well. Despite extending the Vienna Accord during the recent OPEC summit, the participants of the summit still cannot see the expected results as oil prices still haven’t shown any considerable rally, thereby indicating no significant progress.

Publication date: 28 May 11:46 PM