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Sunday, 25 February 05:41 (GMT -05:00)



Stock and commodities markets

Gold And Silver: Gold Is Ready To Rally

Gold And Silver: Gold Is Ready To Rally

 

 

The situation around Iran remains tough. Yesterday a US citizen of Iranian descent was sentenced to death for spying. Today Timothy Geithner is on his visit to China. He is expected to ask China to back the sanctions against Iran. According to Dennis Ross, President Obama’s former Mideast advisor, the USA is ready to attack Iran in order to cease its nuclear program. Goldman Sachs has increased its oil price forecast for 2012.

 

 

 

 

 

 
The data on China’s external trade for December 2011 showed a major import/export decline as compared with the forecast. China’s foreign trade turnover in 2011 hit the all-time record of $3.6 trillion. However, the balance-of-trade surplus declined down to 3-year low ($115B).
 
The Federal Reserve is planning to arrange a press conference. Investors will be looking for hints at the Fed Reserve’s further economic stimuli. In November 2011 the US consumer lending hit the record level (+$20.37B).
 
In the meantime, Angela Merkel and Nicola Sarkozy met in Berlin. The parties agreed on all the issues in advance of the next EU summit scheduled for Jan 30th 2012. This week Spain and Italy are expected to hold their own bond auctions as investors will be focused on the bond yield. These auctions can influence France’s credit rating as French banks are major holders of these bonds. Today Angela Merkel will meet with the IMF President.
According to Goldman Sachs, the current macroeconomic situation around the world suggests an increase in gold prices up to $1940/oz by late 2012. Asia keeps seeing steady demand for physical gold.
 
Forecast: According to the Department of Commodity Trading of Masterforex-V Academy, after declining within a range for a couple of days, today gold is ready for a rally. It is currently above 1617-1617.5. However, the price still may test 1610. The closest targets are 1627, 1630, then 1640-1641, and maybe even 1668.
 
As for silver, in order to resume its rally, the price needs to consolidate above 29.30 in order to reach 29.50 and 29.75. A break above December’s high will give way to 30. A failed test will initiate a downswing to 28.9-29, and maybe even 28.7.

 

 

 

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Is crude oil really expensive today?

Oil expert Sergei Shelin decided to share with us his thoughts on the processes currently going on in the global oil market. In particular he thinks that crude oil has been struggling to consolidate around 70 dollars per barrel but the thing is that even the world's biggest oil producers and exporters don't believe in high oil prices in the future.


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Publication date: 23 January 05:44 AM

U.S. DoE Predicts Oil Market Oversupply over the Next 2 Year

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Publication date: 16 January 11:46 AM

Brent Oil Is Getting Closer to $70/b, Provoking a Shale Storm

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Publication date: 11 January 11:59 AM

OPEC Nations Don’t Want $60/b

The OPEC doesn't seem to be interested in oil prices above $60/b. At least this is what the Iranian Minister of Oil said the other day. By the way, Iran is the OPEC’s third-biggest producer of crude oil.

Publication date: 10 January 03:45 AM

Investment Banks Make Controversial Oil Forecast for 2018

After the OPEC+ deal was extended not so long ago, several investment banks changed their predictions for the global oil prices in 2018. Bloomberg tried to compile those prediction into a single article. 

Publication date: 02 January 11:44 AM

CBOE Launches World’s First Bitcoin Futures

As promised, the CBOE launched the world's first Bitcoin futures on December 10th at 15 p.m. Central Standard Time (CST). The first BTC futures trading session started at 15000 USD/BTC. Within the first couple of minutes, there were 150 transactions processed. Over the first 20 minutes, the exchange rate increased up to 15940 USD/BTC. Lateronitwenttemporarilyupto 16600 USD/BTC.

Publication date: 11 December 02:26 AM

American Shale Oil Producers Enjoy OPEC+ Deal Extension

On the last day of November, the OPEC and several non-OPEC oil exporters met in Vienna to discuss the future of the global oil market during the OPEC summit. The summit ended with extending the OPEC+ deal until the end of 2018. Experts say this decision means the OPEC+ participants have lost the long-term oil war with American shale oil companies.

Publication date: 03 December 11:03 PM

OPEC Is Worried About U.S. Shale Oil Production Prospects

The OPEC is concerned that their American rivals producing shale oil may catch at the chance given them by the OPEC+ deal. The deal is aimed to cap oil production and restore the market balance in favor of higher oil prices. The OPEC+ agreement is likely to be extended during the forthcoming OPEC summit on November 30th in Vienna, Austria.

 
Publication date: 29 November 11:49 AM