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Stock and commodities markets

Gold and silver: market outlook

Gold and silver: market outlook

 

 

Yesterday, after a strong rally on higher dollar liquidity, the markets were influenced mostly by macroeconomic stats. Investors wonder what are the prospects of the world’s biggest economies.
 

 

 

 

 

 

Today the US is to release its Non-Farm Payrolls. The forecast is +120К. Others say it may increase by 120К or even 125K. However, this is not expected to change the 9% rate of unemployment but may well reassure investors about the US economic prospects.
 
Yesterday the Senate elongated the period of lower taxes and denied tax hikes for the US middle class. It is expected to keep stimulating the country’s consumer spending in 2012.
Mario Draghi, ECB President, said yesterday that the bank is determined to take more cardinal steps probably hinting at possible interest rate cuts) in order to combat the eurozone crisis if during next week’s summit the EU leaders agree on tougher control over the budgets of all the 17 eurozone members and agree to make major decisions by a majority vote. Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel backed those requirements. On Monday they will meet to work out a detailed plan, which will be discussed on Dec 9th.
The bond auctions held by Spain and France were a success, attended by high demand.
Goldman Sachs and HSBC anticipate interest rate cuts in China in 2012 in order to stimulate the world’s 2nd largest economy.
Central banks keep buying up gold amid global uncertainty. South Korea bought 15 tons of gold in Sep and 25 tons in June-July, thus increasing its gold reserves up to 54.4 tons.
 
However, if investors gain more confidence about the global economy, the demand for precious metals as safe haven assets will probably decline, with inflation being the only factor to support gold and silver prices.
 
Forecast: According to the Department of Commodity Trading, Masterforex-V Academy, yesterday gold failed to consolidate above 1750. Today gold may test the 1750-1753 area once again. A failure may result in a downswing, with targets at 1740, 1725, 1718. In order to continue the rally gold will have to consolidate above 1750.
 
As for silver, $33/oz has been a strong barrier so far. Today silver may keep testing the 33.1-33.2 zone. A break above 33.2 is needed to continue the rally. A failure will give way to 32.6-32.5, and may be further down to 32.

 


 

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OPEC Fights USA’s Shale Oil, Not Russia?

 

At tis point, the biggest event in the global oil market is the latest OPEC summit. This is believed to be the major reason why crude oil prices keep on going down. Well, it is hard to disprove this supposition since the price started instantly falling down after the OPEC announced its decision to remain its oil production unchanged at 30 million barrels a day. This took place during the latest summit in Vienna on November, 27th.

Publication date: 16 December 12:17 PM

OPEC: Preserving Oil Production Isn’t Aimed Against Any Particular Nation

 

The Secretary General of the OPEC says the OPEC’s decision to leave their oil production volume unchanged is not aimed at hurting any particular country, including Russia and Iran. This is what Market Leader reports.

Publication date: 16 December 05:26 AM

Sanctions and Low Oil Prices Lead to Major Consequences for Russian Economy

It is not a secret that all those Western sanctions imposed on Russia by the USA and its Western allies used to be considered with a smile by most Russian politicians. Now we can see that the consequences are getting more and more serious and Russian politicians do not want to smile anymore. The projections become gloomier amid depreciating oil prices. Apparently, the Russian economy, which is heavily dependent on the export of oil and natural gas, couldn’t but feel the outcome, Masterforex-V Academy reports.

Publication date: 16 December 02:47 AM

Samsung Works on A9 Processor for iPhone 7

 

Several web sources report that Samsung, the world-famous tech giant from South Korea, is currently working on the next-generation processor for future Apple devices. In particular, it is said that the new processor is called A9 and it is going to be used in the next version of iPhone, which is probably going to be named iPhone 7, Market Leader reports.

Publication date: 15 December 11:30 AM

Russian Expert Says Ruble Collapse Will Trigger Economic Collapse In Russia

 

As you probably know by now, the latest OPEC summit, which took place more than a week ago, ended up with the OPEC members abstaining from cutting down on their oil production, there leaving it at 30 million barrels a day in total. Apparently, this has been one of the key drivers pushing oil prices down to new multi-year lows.

Publication date: 13 December 05:26 PM

Crude Oil Prices Go Below $62/b

 

The negative correlation between the supply and demand in the global oil market seems to keep on exerting downward pressure on oil prices around the globe. In particular, the Commodity Department of Masterforex-V Academy reports that the global oil supply is still growing as oil producers abstain from cutting down on oil production amid shrinking global oil demand backed by an economic slowdown. With that said, Market Leader reports that the average price of crude oil is down again. It is currently below $62/b. This is the lowest oil price seen since the latest global crisis.

Publication date: 12 December 04:50 PM

US Stock Indexes Decline on Weak Figures from China

 

On Monday, December 8th, the USA’s major stock indices went down in value after China published disappointing economic figures, Market Leader reports. The thing is that a couple of days ago, China revealed its trade balance figures for November. According to it, the country’s import went sharply down by 6,7% relative to October’s value. Apparently, the figures indicate weak consumer demand in China. At the same time, the export also declined by 4,7%. According to Masterforex-V Academy, the latest figures may give us to understand that the Chinese government is about to start more active stimulation of the national economy.

 

Publication date: 11 December 02:50 PM

Fitch Downgraded Global GDP Forecast By 0,1%

 

The international rating agency known as Fitch Ratings has just downgraded its forecast for the global GDP growth in 2014, 2015 and 2016 as opposed to the similar prediction made in September, Market Leader reports. 

 

In particular, the financial experts working or Fitch Ratings assume that the global GDP is going to remain unchanged this year at the level of 2,5% while the growth rate in 2015 and 2016 are expected to reach 2,9% (+0,4%) and 3% (+0,5%) respectively.

Publication date: 09 December 07:59 AM

US Stock Indexes Gain Value After Fed’s Announcements

 

The US stock index futures are still going up in value. The tendency has been underway since yesterday, when the Fed’s Janet Yellen gave everyone to understand that the probability of interest rate hikes within the cope of the next 2 FOMC meeting is close to zero.

Publication date: 08 December 10:16 PM

HTC Will Release Windows-Powered Hima Dvice

 

Last week, several web sources reported that the Taiwanese manufacturer of computer electronics known as HTC is going to introduce a new mobile device named Hima. On top of that, the device is going to come have several implementations, Market Leader reports.

Publication date: 08 December 08:39 AM