Tatsiana Ketrar
Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) has recently downgraded its forecast for the Australian dollar exchange rate. The analysts of Australia’s biggest commercial bank expect the public spending to be cut down to 364.2 million dollars. This will be the first spending cut in more than 40 years.
The implementation of the new program aimed at reaching a 1.54b surplus will affect Australia’s economic growth. Consequently, the RBA will have to cut interest rates in order to stimulate the economy. This will weaken the Australian currency.
The CBA analysts expect AUDUSD to decline down to 0.9800 by mid 2012 and to recover up to 1.0500 by late 2012.
According to , the Australian Dollar keeps losing value against its US counterpart. AUDUSD is currently forming wave А(С) or shortened С inside the bearish wave А(С)/С of wave level Daily. The closest major levels of support are 0.9983, 0.9947, 0.9912. The current downswing will be completed once the price breaks and consolidates above 1.0142 (as shown below):
Tatsiana Ketrar
