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Friday, 21 July 02:42 (GMT -05:00)



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Russia Wants Expensive Oil. Is It Really That Beneficial for the Russian Economy?


As you probably know, both Russia and Saudi Arabia are interested in lower oil supply in the global market since the deficit is expected to push oil prices higher, thereby resulting in bigger profits from their oil exports further down the road. That is why they seem to be doing their best to contribute to this ambitious goal.
 

 

 

 

What is really going on in the global market of crude oil?
 
For now, 24 oil producers from around the world agreed to extend their production cuts for the next 9 months during the recent OPEC summit in Vienna. Against low demand, cutting production may look a reasonable solution designed to balance the market. On the one hand, this may well support the prices. On the other hand, there is no need to extract crude oil from old oil fields with excessively high production costs.
 
First of all, it’s OPEC nations who are busy regulating the oil production in the first place. Russia is not an OPEC member but has been an OPEC ally over the last few months. Yet, experts say this cooperation isn’t something that Russia can benefit from at all times. It’s high production costs that prevent Russia from making plenty of money from exporting crude oil. So, the only thing left for Russian oil companies is to expand the profits at the expense of expanding the volume. However, as you probably know, Russia promised to make the local oil companies cut their oil production by as much as 300K barrels a day. This is at least 15 million dollars of lost profit a day.
 

 

Even though any production cuts in the global market of crude oil are temporary, they still help the world’s major oil producers and exporters to sustain slightly higher prices at least temporarily. Shortly after the participants of the recent OPEC summit decided to extend the agreement, oil prices went slightly up. However, we haven’t seen a major price rally since then.

 

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OPEC Increases Oil Production To Highest Volume Since Early 2017

The OPEC’s average daily level of oil production saw another high in June 2017. To be more specific, they produced 260K barrels a day more than in May 2017. The biggest gainers in term of oil production were Libya and Nigeria. Those are the OPEC members that didn’t sign the so-called Vienna Accord, which is why they are not obliged to freeze their oil production.

Publication date: 05 July 12:31 AM

Why Are OPEC and Russia Unable to Trigger Oil Price Rally?

Not so long ago, oil prices reached the 10-month low. Since early 2017, oil prices have already dropped by 20%. The low efficiency of the joint efforts to cap oil production in order to support oil prices is now rated differently by the international expert community.
 
Publication date: 01 July 12:57 PM

Crude Oil Plunges Below $45/b

Oil prices keep on going down. Yesterday, for the first time since November 2016, the price of Brent oil dropped below $45/b. to be more specific, later on the trading day, a barrel of Brent oil cost $44,63 in London (ICE Futures). This means that the price dropped by 3% over the trading day. A day before, the trading session ended up with $46,02/b, NordFX reports. This is the lowest price since November 15, 2016.

 

 
Publication date: 21 June 11:36 PM

Trading Week Starts with Oil Price Drop

On Monday, June 19, crude oil is getting cheaper worldwide. Experts say that the price drop has to do with the recent report on the amount of oil rigs in the United States. In particular, the report says that the amount of such rigs has grown over the last week.
 

 

Baker Hughes reported on June 16 that 6 new rigs had been activated over the reporting period, thereby setting a new major high – 767 units, which is the biggest amount of functioning oil rigs since April 2015. By the way, the amount of oil rigs has been continuously growing over the last 22 weeks, which is also the new 30-year record.
Publication date: 19 June 02:27 AM

Brent Drops Below $48/b Amid Qatar’s Paradox

The Qatar crisis failed to push oil prices higher as expected by those who had previously extended the so-called Vienna Accord. Yesterday, on June 7, the global market of crude oil got feverish. The reasons for that was all about the tensions around Qatar, which is an oil exporter from the Persian Gulf.
 
Publication date: 08 June 01:17 AM

Russian Oil Production to Hit New All-Time High This Year, ACRA Experts Say

According to the experts working for Analytical Credit Rating Agency (ACRA) from Russia, the long-awaited extension of the so-called Vienna Accord signed by OPEC and some of their non-OPEC peers led by Russia may eventually result in higher oil prices along with eliminating the long-lasting oversupply in the global market of crude oil. This is what the experts stated in the recent report on the prospects of the Russian oil industry until 2021.
 
Publication date: 05 June 01:07 PM

Oil Prices Don’t Care About OPEC’s Decisions

As you probably know, last Thursday, OPEC and their non-OPEC fellow decided to extend the so-called Vienna Accord during the recent summit in the capital of Austria. The mentioned agreement implies cutting oil production in order to back higher oil prices in the near future. The agreement was extended for 9 months – until the end of March 2018.

 

 
Publication date: 01 June 04:09 AM

Russian Economy Will Face Challenges After 2018

It’s getting more and more obvious that crude oil is not going to grow as expected, which is why the hopes laid by the Kremlin on higher oil prices and higher income from oil exports are probably not going to become a reality. Most likely, this is not going to happen over the next couple of years as well. Despite extending the Vienna Accord during the recent OPEC summit, the participants of the summit still cannot see the expected results as oil prices still haven’t shown any considerable rally, thereby indicating no significant progress.

Publication date: 28 May 11:46 PM

IMF Demands Land Reform From Ukraine

Pension and land reforms are the two questions on the agenda, without resolving which the Ukrainian government can forget about further loans from the International Monetary Funds.

Publication date: 28 May 11:30 PM

Standard & Poor’s Confirms Ukraine’s Rating

International rating agency Standard & Poor’s (S&P) has confirmed the long-term rating of Ukraine, both for national and foreign currencies. The rating is confirmed at «В-/В», with stable forecast for both national and foreign currencies.
 
S&P analysts underline that confirming the ratings reflects the progress achieved in the macroeconomic situation in Ukraine. The Ukrainian GDP is expected to grow by 1,9% this year.
 
Publication date: 28 May 11:08 AM