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Tuesday, 27 June 07:40 (GMT -05:00)



Business And Politics News

Stratfor Gave Prediction for the next 3 Months


The other day, Stratfor released another quarterly prediction for the global geopolitical situation.
 

 

 

 

According to the report, the USA will try to settle the nuclear dispute with North Korea. Europe will be waiting for the results of the presidential election in France. Russia will dive even deeper into the local problems. The OPEC will extend the Vienna Accord aimed at cutting oil production.
 
USA
 

 

Trade is expected to become one of the key issues in the American agenda over the mentioned period. To be more specific, Trump’s administration will try to explain to the Americans the newly-developed strategy to fight any currency manipulation abroad, which implies some trade regulation toughening and the reconsidering their attitude to the NAFTA. At the same time, Stratfor experts believe that Trump’s unclear stance will force America’s key trade partners seek tighter trade relations with other countries. However, some of them will retain their commitment to cooperating with the USA in the field of security and investments in order to avoid trade sanctions. China is expected to be one of such countries. China has been actively benefiting from its economic growth as well as the tensions between the USA and North Korea. 

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At the same time, they think that President Trump and his administration will do their best to implement at least secondary sanctions against North Korea. For that reason, the USA may provide South Korea with considerable military support to make China interfere with the conflict.
 
Russia and the Middle East
 
The American missile attack on a Syrian airbase aggravated the situation in Syria, increasing the risk of direct military clashes. Still, Stratfor experts believe that Moscow will be using the situation to urge Donald Trump for negotiations. Russia is unlikely to trust the USA and Europe anymore. Russian politicians will probably have to focus on numerous internal problems.
 
OPEC
 
Saudi Arabia and other OPEC members are expected to back oil production cuts in the region for 6 more months. If oil prices stabilize, Venezuela may well settle some of its urgent financial problems. However, Venezuela will still be facing a default in the second half of 2017.
 

 

European Union

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European leaders my face some challenges threatening to undermine their status. At the same time, all eyes are on the results of the presidential election in France. The result will show whether there will be a Frexit referendum. Italy is another country thinking about quitting the EU. That’s why the results of the presidential election in France may decide the fate of the entire union. In the worst case scenario, Europe will face serious shocks, which will also affect global financial markets, Stratfor experts predict.

 

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What’s New in New Anti-Russia Sanctions?

Today, the Russian political establishment and media are glad that the Senate of the U.S. Congress has recently postponed their voting on new sanctions against Russia. However, this is just the so-called “calm before the storm”, Western experts say.

 

 
The new sanction mechanism developed by the Senate is fundamentally different from the sanctions imposed on Russia previously, under Obama’s administration. The experts say that unlike Obama’s isolated decrees, the Senate has come up with a whole new mechanism taking into consideration the whole seriousness of Russia’s crimes in the global geopolitical arena. This mechanism will prevent the U.S. authorities from being able to cancel those sanctions gradually. So, the only way out will boil down to Russia leaving Donbass, the Crimea and Syria. So, this will be the only opportunity for Russia to see the Western world cancel those sanctions.
Publication date: 26 June 01:26 AM

Fed Raises Key Interest Rate. How Will This Affect Russian Economy?

The federal Reserve has raised the key interest rate by 0,25%. According to international experts, this may well make foreign assets (including Russian ones) less attractive in terms of investing.

 

 
The decision was made as the result of the recent 2-day FOMC meeting. The interest rate was raised up to 1-1,25%. At the same time, it’s interesting to note that the actual decision matched expectations, both from the international expert community and financial markets.
Publication date: 20 June 05:12 AM

Why Did British People Punish Theresa May During Parliamentary Election?

During the recent parliamentary election in the UK, the British Conservatives failed to gain public support required to get the absolute majority in the British parliament. Now, the international expert community is discussing the reasons why Theresa May failed on her expectations.

 

 
Publication date: 20 June 03:09 AM

Why Does Trump Fail to Be a Good President?

As you probably know, the scandal around Donald Trump’s decision to fire FBI Director Comey is just one of the unpleasant incidents in his presidential career started in early 2017.

 

 
The truth of the matter is, after the investigation against Michael Flynn started, Donald Trump asked FBI Director Comey to let the investigation slide. While Director Comey didn’t dare object to President Trump openly, he didn’t do that. On the contrary, the investigation got even more intensive.
Publication date: 16 June 01:46 AM

Trump Accuses Qatar Of Financing Terrorists

Donald Trump thinks that Qatar has been involved in sponsoring terrorists in the Middle East. That said, the USA joined other nations accusing Qatar of this kind of financing. President Trump thinks that it’s time to put an end to this. However, he didn’t specify what exactly Qatar did to sponsor terrorists.

 
Publication date: 15 June 05:35 AM

Trump Is a Boomerang Russians Have Hit Themselves With

Experts say that Donald Trump is gradually turning into a boomerang launched by Russia, and the thing is, this boomerang is going to hit Russia, thereby disappointing the Kremlin instead of letting them. President Trump is turning from Russia’s hope into Russia’s disappointment.
 

 

The Kremlin celebrated Trump’s victory with champagne while today Vladimir Putin says he didn’t expect anything from Donald Trump as the next president of the United States. He moved to the White House 5 months ago, but none of his decisions was made in favor of Russia.
Publication date: 13 June 06:25 AM

Will Macron Become Anti-Trump?

 New French President Emmanuel Macron seems to be getting more popular both in France and outside. The 39-year-old President of France seems to have challenged his 70-year-old American peer.

 

 
Not so long ago, he made his TV speech in English. While some older representatives of the French people were indignant at this move since no other president in the history of France had ever dare do so, but the French youth seemed to like this.
Publication date: 12 June 01:52 AM

Google Reveals Near-Term Forecast

Google Technical Director Ray Kurzweil has revealed his forecast for the period until 2030. Previously, he also made similar prediction for the near future related to IT. Strange as it may see, most of his predictions did really become a reality. That’s why the international community has been closely watching his predictions over the last few years, even though sometimes it’s very difficult to believe that the future will be the same as he described in his forecast.

Publication date: 10 June 11:54 PM

25th Amendment Threatens Trump with Impeachment

President Trump is reported to have found himself in another unpleasant situation. To be more specific, just for revealing some top-secret information to Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov, he is now threatened with a possible impeachment. They say that the 25 amendment to the American constitution, this becomes a very likely scenario. In particular, this assumption was put forward by an advisor who used to work for George Bush Jr.

 

 
Publication date: 07 June 12:25 AM

Chinese IT Innovations as an Example for the Resto of the World

China seems to have been trying hard to revolutionize the Internet and entire IT industry through innovation. The international expert community has been seriously discussing the possibility of China setting a good example for the rest of the world when it comes to innovation.
 
Publication date: 05 June 06:04 AM