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Saturday, 21 October 20:42 (GMT -05:00)



Business And Politics News

Stratfor Gave Prediction for the next 3 Months


The other day, Stratfor released another quarterly prediction for the global geopolitical situation.
 

 

 

 

According to the report, the USA will try to settle the nuclear dispute with North Korea. Europe will be waiting for the results of the presidential election in France. Russia will dive even deeper into the local problems. The OPEC will extend the Vienna Accord aimed at cutting oil production.
 
USA
 

 

Trade is expected to become one of the key issues in the American agenda over the mentioned period. To be more specific, Trump’s administration will try to explain to the Americans the newly-developed strategy to fight any currency manipulation abroad, which implies some trade regulation toughening and the reconsidering their attitude to the NAFTA. At the same time, Stratfor experts believe that Trump’s unclear stance will force America’s key trade partners seek tighter trade relations with other countries. However, some of them will retain their commitment to cooperating with the USA in the field of security and investments in order to avoid trade sanctions. China is expected to be one of such countries. China has been actively benefiting from its economic growth as well as the tensions between the USA and North Korea. 

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At the same time, they think that President Trump and his administration will do their best to implement at least secondary sanctions against North Korea. For that reason, the USA may provide South Korea with considerable military support to make China interfere with the conflict.
 
Russia and the Middle East
 
The American missile attack on a Syrian airbase aggravated the situation in Syria, increasing the risk of direct military clashes. Still, Stratfor experts believe that Moscow will be using the situation to urge Donald Trump for negotiations. Russia is unlikely to trust the USA and Europe anymore. Russian politicians will probably have to focus on numerous internal problems.
 
OPEC
 
Saudi Arabia and other OPEC members are expected to back oil production cuts in the region for 6 more months. If oil prices stabilize, Venezuela may well settle some of its urgent financial problems. However, Venezuela will still be facing a default in the second half of 2017.
 

 

European Union

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European leaders my face some challenges threatening to undermine their status. At the same time, all eyes are on the results of the presidential election in France. The result will show whether there will be a Frexit referendum. Italy is another country thinking about quitting the EU. That’s why the results of the presidential election in France may decide the fate of the entire union. In the worst case scenario, Europe will face serious shocks, which will also affect global financial markets, Stratfor experts predict.

 

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Referendum In Catalonia May Hit Europe Harder Than Brexit

The possibility of Catalonia exiting from Spain is dangerous to the integrity of the European Union, even more dangerous than the Brexit. This is what The Daily Telegraph thinks on the matter.

 

Publication date: 01 October 04:58 AM

Trump Announced Revolutionary Tax Cuts for Americans

On Wednesday, September 27th, President Trump announced a tax reform. The thing is that Donald trump promised this tax reform when making his election pledges in 2016.

Publication date: 29 September 07:51 AM

What is so precious about Ukraine for international investors? An American businessman shares his opinion

More and more international investors have been paying attention to Ukraine as a promising area for profitable investing. Cody Shirk, an American entrepreneur, traveler and investor, is now urging international investors to look at Ukraine as a country with really great investment potential, Market Leader reports.

Publication date: 27 September 03:16 AM

China’s Debt Bubble May Trigger Another Global Financial Crisis

The Chinese economy keeps on slowing down as China’s debt bubble is growing. International experts are concerned about that. They are afraid of a new global financial crisis, Market Leader reports. The thing is, the Chinese economy is not growing fast enough anymore. Beijing has to admit the economic slowdown. The entire international expert community is now closely watching this slowdown and expressing their concerns about China’s economic prospects amid the mentioned economic slowdown and inflating debt bubble.

Publication date: 25 September 12:44 PM

Why Is German Parliamentary Election Important to Europe?

Judging by the results of several sociological surveys, the chances of electing Angela Markel for the next 4 years is fairly high at the moment. Even though there is almost no intrigue in the election, the international community has still been closely watching it, Market Leader reports

Publication date: 24 September 12:55 AM

Bitcoin Market Cap Exceeds $150 Billion

Bitcoin’s market capitalization exceeded $150 billion the other day. At the same time, the international expert community keeps on pondering upon the near-term prospects of Bitcoin and other digital currencies.

Publication date: 03 September 11:22 PM

American Sanctions Will Cut Investments In Russia

Some experts say that the next round of anti-Russian sanctions imposed a couple of weeks ago is going to undermine the Russian economy. In particular, they are threatening the investment capital inflow.

 

 
A few weeks after Donald Trump reluctantly signed the new sanctions approved by the U.S. Congress, Russian and foreign investors are still trying to figure out what the actual consequences of this decision are going to be. For now, they seem to have understood enough to be afraid of long-term negative consequences for their existing or potential investments in the Russian economy, which has just started recovering after a 2-year recession.
 
Publication date: 31 August 01:44 AM

New U.S. Sanctions Against Russia Will Result In Geopolitical Changes

Political expert Lilia Shevtsova commented on the new sanctions against Russia imposed by the United States. She claims that the geopolitical situation in the world is going to change in the near future due to the sanctions.

 

She claims that introducing those sanctions was like a surgery. As the result of this surgery, the USA got rid of a foreign body. After that, Washington is probably going to reset their foreign policy. However, nobody can definitely say what exactly this event is going to result in. But one thing is sure – something is definitely going to change in the world order, and this creates certain threats for Russia.

Publication date: 28 August 03:32 AM

New Sanctions Against Russia Will Last Long

Russian political expert Leonid Shvets commented on the new round of anti-Russian sanctions. For starters, he claims that Russia has already turned into America’s biggest enemy. The thing is that the new law signed by Donald Trump not so long ago is designed to fight America’s enemies with the help of sanctions. North Korea and Iran are also on the same list.

 

 
Publication date: 28 August 01:02 AM

New Sanctions Will Hit Putin Personally, Piotrovskiy Says

This time, American sanctions are going to hit even Vladimir Putin himself, Andrey Piotrovskiy says. He says that the devil is in the detail. The thing is that the new sanctions approved by the U.S. Congress and signed by Donald Trump (even though he was against those sanctions), obliges the U.S. financial intelligence to provide the Congress with the information on all the known and probable assets belonging to the all the high-ranking Russian politicians, including Russian President Vladimir Putin. With that being said, it’s not accidental, that Putin is mentioned several times in the document.
 
Publication date: 27 August 11:35 AM