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Sunday, 21 January 18:35 (GMT -05:00)



Stock and commodities markets

Brent Oil Prices May Reach $65/b in Q4 2017, Citigroup Predicts


Despite the fact that American oil producers have become more active, the average price of Brent oil has all chances to reach 65 dollars per barrel in the last quarter of 2017, Citigroup experts predict.

 

 

 

 
According to the experts, the recent OPEC deal (aimed at reducing oil production and supported by several non-OPEC producers) may well be extended and therefore may become the very factor backing oil prices despite the increasing shale oil production in the United States.
 
Citigroup experts believe that there is nothing surprising about this since chances are we are going to see a decrease in oil inventories of the OPEC deal is extended, even despite higher production in the USA. Decreasing inventories usually push prices higher for fear of creating a deficit. In the second half of the year, the prices should already exceed the $60/b threshold, they believe.
 
As for the average price of WTI oil, it may reach $62/b over the same period. This means the prices may gain another $10/b in the near future if the necessary conditions set in. However, if the OPEC deal is not extended, we are likely to see an instant price drop following the decision. The thing is that in late 2016, both OPEC and non-OPEC producers already showed the world how fast they managed to increase their production, and this is something that raises concerns in the global market of crude oil.
 
The Russian government already gave us to understand that the actual results of the deal turned out to be less considerable than expected, and this is another reason why we may see no further deal. In case you don’t know, the deal took effect in early 2017 but the price hasn’t gone above $58/b since then. This was a short-term increase on January 3. At the same time, Russia had expected the average price around 55-60 dollars per barrel. Most of the time, the price has been below $55/b. At this point, it’s between 51 and 52 dollars per barrel for Brent oil. WTI is even below the $50/b threshold.
 
So, now we can see that the OPEC deal has improved the situation in the oil market just a little bit. Still, it’s too early to predict whether they are actually going to extend the deal.

 

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U.S. DoE Predicts Oil Market Oversupply over the Next 2 Year

The United States Department of Energy doesn't believe in the OPEC+ deal and expects excessive supply in the global market over the next 2 years. In particular, the January short-term report released by the DoE confirms that. They say this is going to be long-term oversupply. 

Publication date: 16 January 11:46 AM

Brent Oil Is Getting Closer to $70/b, Provoking a Shale Storm

Brent oil has come close to $70/b. It’s interesting to note that Brent oil has reached this level for the first time since 2014. At the same time, international experts now seem to be overwhelmed by mixed feeling about that.

 
According to NordFX, ICE Brent futures (London) for March delivery cost $62,2/b after gaining 0,5% on that day and 3,1% since the start of the trading week. WTI futures cost $63,5/b after gaining 0,8% on that day.
Publication date: 11 January 11:59 AM

OPEC Nations Don’t Want $60/b

The OPEC doesn't seem to be interested in oil prices above $60/b. At least this is what the Iranian Minister of Oil said the other day. By the way, Iran is the OPEC’s third-biggest producer of crude oil.

Publication date: 10 January 03:45 AM

Investment Banks Make Controversial Oil Forecast for 2018

After the OPEC+ deal was extended not so long ago, several investment banks changed their predictions for the global oil prices in 2018. Bloomberg tried to compile those prediction into a single article. 

Publication date: 02 January 11:44 AM

CBOE Launches World’s First Bitcoin Futures

As promised, the CBOE launched the world's first Bitcoin futures on December 10th at 15 p.m. Central Standard Time (CST). The first BTC futures trading session started at 15000 USD/BTC. Within the first couple of minutes, there were 150 transactions processed. Over the first 20 minutes, the exchange rate increased up to 15940 USD/BTC. Lateronitwenttemporarilyupto 16600 USD/BTC.

Publication date: 11 December 02:26 AM

American Shale Oil Producers Enjoy OPEC+ Deal Extension

On the last day of November, the OPEC and several non-OPEC oil exporters met in Vienna to discuss the future of the global oil market during the OPEC summit. The summit ended with extending the OPEC+ deal until the end of 2018. Experts say this decision means the OPEC+ participants have lost the long-term oil war with American shale oil companies.

Publication date: 03 December 11:03 PM

OPEC Is Worried About U.S. Shale Oil Production Prospects

The OPEC is concerned that their American rivals producing shale oil may catch at the chance given them by the OPEC+ deal. The deal is aimed to cap oil production and restore the market balance in favor of higher oil prices. The OPEC+ agreement is likely to be extended during the forthcoming OPEC summit on November 30th in Vienna, Austria.

 
Publication date: 29 November 11:49 AM

U.S. Stats Pushed Oil Prices Higher

According to online source Finanz, the U.S. crude oil inventories shrank over the past week, which pushed oil prices higher. After 3 weeks of retracing, crude oil is rallying confidently again. The Brent oil futures for January delivery reached $63,29/b, which is 1,15% higher than a day before. At the same time, The WTI oil futures for January delivery gained more than 2% and reached $57,94/b, which is the highest level since July 2015.

Publication date: 25 November 01:14 AM

Oil Market Is Under Pressure In Advance of OPEC Summit

Publication date: 24 November 07:01 AM

Saudi Arabia Doesn’t Want Oil Prices to Grow Too Fast

Reuters reports that Saudi Arabia doesn’t want oil prices to grow too fast. This is what Minister of Energy, Industry and Mineral Resources of Saudi Arabia Khalid A. Al-Falih told during his speech at the UN Climate Change Conference 2017 in Bonn, Germany.

Publication date: 19 November 08:58 AM