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Monday, 22 May 09:25 (GMT -05:00)



Business And Politics News

Trump’s Statements on Crimea Shocked Moscow


One of the key political news of the last few weeks is an unexpected turn in President Trump's rhetoric. He says that the USA is not going to cancel the anti-Russian sanctions unless Russia gives the Crimea back to Ukraine and starts deescalating the conflict in Donbass. This statement seems to be the opposite one to those he made previously when saying he wanted to make friends with Putting if possible. This statement was made by Sean Spicer, the White House Press Secretary and Communications Director for U.S. President Donald Trump.

 

 

 

 
According to President of the Committee for International Affairs under the Russian Duma, this was like a cold shower for Moscow. This cold shower has cooled the hot heads from the Kremlin thinking high of Donald Trump and seeing him as Russia’s friends.
 
At the same time, observers remind us that back in July 2016, during his election campaign, Donald Trump promised to devote special attention to the Crimea issue if elected the U.S. President. Shortly after he became President Elect, he promised several times to consider the possibility of canceling the sanction against Russia without specifying the conditions. That was the time when the Kremlin started thinking that Trump was loyal to Russia and was expecting tighter and friendlier relations between Moscow and Washington.
 
Some international observers think that the White House’s policy announced by Sean Spicer the other day testifies to the fact that Donald Trump is also capable of changing his mind when it comes to election pledges. If during the first days of Trump’s presidency, Russia was fairly optimistic about his loyalty to Putin, today it seems to be that the Kremlin will have to get realistic and avoid those ambitious expectations related to the USA.
 
And even despite the fact that Donald Trump seems to be sharing the standpoint that the annexation of the Crimea was against the international law, the experts do not expect him to turn his back on Russia regarding other important political issues. They say Trump’s current policies are nothing new since they also served as the basis for Obama’s administration as well.
 
What do sanctions mean to Trump – necessity or just a means of making better deals?
 
If at any time in the future Donald Trump wants to ease the official politics concerning Russia, he will have to cancel or at least ease those anti-Russian sanctions. The Congress may well create a law to prevent the President to cancel those sanctions at any time without the Congress’s consent. Anyway, experts believe that President Trump is unlikely to ease or cancel those sanctions since the USA promised to back the integrity of European countries, including Europe, with sanctions being a means of demonstrating this commitment.
 
Others say that while Washington may cancel some sanctions in theory, those sanctions related to the Crimea will remain intact since even if Trump thinks about it, this is still a good means to make better deals. And who would agree to abandon such a means without starting the talks?
 

 

Another important fact to keep in mind while considering the US-Russia relations is Trump’s decision to dismiss Michael Flynn, who used to advocate a more loyal attitude to Russia. Experts say that this may well hint that from now on, all of the decisions related to Russia will be made by Donald Trump himself since he is probably the only one being aware of the real price of any Russia-related decisions, and in some cases the price may be rather high.

 

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Macron Will Shift the Balance of Powers in the Normandy Format in Favor of Ukraine

For those of you who don’t know, the so-called Normandy format was created to resolve the difficult situation in the East of Ukraine. France is one of the participants. As you know, Emmanuel Macron has recently won the presidential election in France. This means that he is going to become the successor to Francois Hollande as President of France, participating in the Normandy format as the French representative.

 

 
Publication date: 17 May 08:48 AM

Stratfor Gave Prediction for the next 3 Months

The other day, Stratfor released another quarterly prediction for the global geopolitical situation.
 

 

According to the report, the USA will try to settle the nuclear dispute with North Korea. Europe will be waiting for the results of the presidential election in France. Russia will dive even deeper into the local problems. The OPEC will extend the Vienna Accord aimed at cutting oil production.
 
Publication date: 10 May 10:26 AM

The Price of Defeating North Korea May Be Too High

These days, more and more experts start talking about a possible war against North Korea. However, they also say that the price of defeating North Korea may be too high for the USA and its allies.

 

 
For now, North Korea seems to have made considerable progress in creating nuclear arms, which is something that worries the entire world, especially as North Korea keeps on making harsh statements and threatening the USA, South Korea and Japan. The recent test launch of ballistic missiles in North Korea are now treated as wake-up call and real threat. Theoretically, there is a threat that North Korea may hit American military facilities located in Japan and South Korea. As the US Navy is moving closer to the Korean peninsula, international observers are talking about the possibility of another armed conflict between North and South Korea, even though both of them are still at war with each other.
Publication date: 26 April 01:16 PM

Sixteen Structural Reforms Is the Cost of the Next IMF Tranche to Ukraine

Anders Aslund, a Swedish economist and a Senior Fellow at the Atlantic Council, commented on the current and future cooperation between the IMF and Ukraine. He claims that Kiev will have to implement at least 16 structural reforms in order to get another tranche from the International Monetary Fund. He also explained why the IMF is still cooperating with Ukraine.

Publication date: 26 April 11:01 AM

Putin Underestimated Ukrainians When Invading Ukraine, Atlantic Council

American private institution Atlantic Council assumes that Vladimir Putin underestimated the Ukrainians when invading Ukraine.
 

 

They say that the hybrid war started by Russia in Ukraine has been going on for the 4th year. There were times when nobody believed that Ukraine would hold on even for 4 weeks. The thing is, the Crimea was annexed without any fight, which made international experts believe that Ukraine was weak and completely dependent on Russia. This stand point used to be popular in Moscow as well. Some Russian politicians expected a complete victory in a couple of months, but back than Ukraine was vulnerable after the revolution, which lead to the end of Yanukovich’s regime, while the temporary government was lacking legitimacy to seriously resist Russia. Back then, Russia got a chance to occupy the rest of Ukraine. Vladimir Putin seemed to be encouraged by the success in the Crimea.
Publication date: 26 April 08:37 AM

Experts on Statements Made by Russian Officials about Russian Economic Recovery

International experts have commented on the recent statements made by several Russian officials about some economic recovery in Russia. They say that the weak economic growth isn’t backed by higher standards of living in the Russian Federation.

Publication date: 23 April 02:05 AM

USA Today Names the Reasons Why the USA Is Concerned about the Situation in Ukraine

USA Today has named the reasons why the United states should be concerned about the armed conflict in the East of Ukraine.

 

Previously, US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson asked his European colleagues why American taxpayers should be concerned about the situation in Ukraine. The answer came from his French colleague, who said that the United States should be interested in a strong Europe. On top of that, there are some other reasons why the USA shouldn’t stop thinking about Ukraine.

Publication date: 21 April 12:00 PM

Trump's Plan on Syria: Russia to Stay in Syria, Asad Has to Leave

At this point, several media sources, including Associated Press, report they know the details of the offer brought by Rex Tillerson to Moscow during his official visit. Now, everyone seems to be wondering what exactly Rex Tillerson and Sergey Lavrov discussed during their meeting in Moscow.
 

 

First of all, the sources claim that the USA is ready to unite forces with Russia to destroy the ISIS once and for all. Secondly, Bashar Asad has to quit anyway. He will be even allowed to go to Russia or Iran to avoid prosecution. Thirdly, a temporary government need to be established in Syria to back stabilization and holding a democratic election in Syria. Russia can stay in Syria to back security but they shouldn’t interfere with the local politics.
Publication date: 18 April 11:34 PM

Today's Russia-US Relations Are Worse Than During Obama’s Administration

At this point, the bilateral relations between Moscow and Washington are even worse than they used to be during Obama’s administration. This is what President Putin thinks on the matter.

 

 
Even though the Russian president thinks so, he hasn’t commented on the details of this degradation in the bilateral relations between the 2 superpowers. He assumes that the level of trust between the United States and the Russian Federation has dropped, especially on the military level.
 
Publication date: 18 April 11:05 PM

Will North Korea Become Another Syria for the USA?

The latest events in Syria made many international observers change their mind regarding President Trump. The current conditions also show that getting rid of North-Korean leader Kim Jong Un may also become a major goal for President Trump.

 

 
The news that U.S. aircraft carrier Carl Vinson suddenly reversed and moved to the Western part of the Pacific Ocean in the direction of the Korean Peninsula attracted the interest of the international community. Given the 59 missiles launched to hit a Syrian airbase a couple of weeks ago, this maneuver of the aircraft carrier does raise a lot of concerns.
Publication date: 18 April 03:29 AM