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Tuesday, 27 June 16:17 (GMT -05:00)



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OPEC Doesn't Like Russia's Pace of Oil Production Cut


As expected by international experts, the ambitious plan of cutting oil production by OPEC and other oil producers led by Russia are seeing some difficulties during the implementation phase. The OPEC is indicating slower-than-expected oil production cuts in 4 non-OPEC countries participating in the agreement.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Shortly after signing the agreement to cut oil production simultaneously, the OPEC members found themselves betrayed. According to the cartel’s estimates, the production cuts outside of the cartel are implemented only by 50% while inside the OPEC this is 92%. Even though the OPEC hasn’t made any open statements criticizing their non-OPEC partners, the cartel may well show their discontent with Russia and other participants of the agreement in the near future.
 
According to the agreement, Russia should be the one responsible for the biggest share of non-OPEC production cuts. However, instead of being cut, Russia’s oil export seems to be growing. On top of that, the OPEC is going to discuss the situation for those non-OPEC countries in February.
 

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Even though the 4 countries were not specified during the statement, experts say that Russia is likely to be on the list. Over the first half of 2017, the non-OPEC participants of the oil agreement are obliged to cut their total production by 558K barrels a day relatively to the production volume seen in October 2016, with Russia being responsible for 300K bpd of that production cut. As for the OPEC, they have agreed to cut their total production by 1.2 million barrels per day. According to the February report, the OPEC’s production cuts reached 890K barrels per day.
 
The biggest cuts were implemented by Saudi Arabia, Iraq and the United Arab Emirates. At the same time, the oil production in Nigeria, Libya, and Iran increased. As of Russia, the planned production cuts are going to be implemented in several steps. Russia claims to have cut the local oil production by 117K barrels per day in January 2017 as opposed to the levels of October 2016. If that’s really the case, that’s twice as much as planned to be cut over the reporting period. This seems to be less oil production but more oil export for Russia.

 

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Crude Oil Plunges Below $45/b

Oil prices keep on going down. Yesterday, for the first time since November 2016, the price of Brent oil dropped below $45/b. to be more specific, later on the trading day, a barrel of Brent oil cost $44,63 in London (ICE Futures). This means that the price dropped by 3% over the trading day. A day before, the trading session ended up with $46,02/b, NordFX reports. This is the lowest price since November 15, 2016.

 

 
Publication date: 21 June 11:36 PM

Trading Week Starts with Oil Price Drop

On Monday, June 19, crude oil is getting cheaper worldwide. Experts say that the price drop has to do with the recent report on the amount of oil rigs in the United States. In particular, the report says that the amount of such rigs has grown over the last week.
 

 

Baker Hughes reported on June 16 that 6 new rigs had been activated over the reporting period, thereby setting a new major high – 767 units, which is the biggest amount of functioning oil rigs since April 2015. By the way, the amount of oil rigs has been continuously growing over the last 22 weeks, which is also the new 30-year record.
Publication date: 19 June 02:27 AM

Brent Drops Below $48/b Amid Qatar’s Paradox

The Qatar crisis failed to push oil prices higher as expected by those who had previously extended the so-called Vienna Accord. Yesterday, on June 7, the global market of crude oil got feverish. The reasons for that was all about the tensions around Qatar, which is an oil exporter from the Persian Gulf.
 
Publication date: 08 June 01:17 AM

Russia Wants Expensive Oil. Is It Really That Beneficial for the Russian Economy?

As you probably know, both Russia and Saudi Arabia are interested in lower oil supply in the global market since the deficit is expected to push oil prices higher, thereby resulting in bigger profits from their oil exports further down the road. That is why they seem to be doing their best to contribute to this ambitious goal.

Publication date: 06 June 11:06 AM

Russian Oil Production to Hit New All-Time High This Year, ACRA Experts Say

According to the experts working for Analytical Credit Rating Agency (ACRA) from Russia, the long-awaited extension of the so-called Vienna Accord signed by OPEC and some of their non-OPEC peers led by Russia may eventually result in higher oil prices along with eliminating the long-lasting oversupply in the global market of crude oil. This is what the experts stated in the recent report on the prospects of the Russian oil industry until 2021.
 
Publication date: 05 June 01:07 PM

Oil Prices Don’t Care About OPEC’s Decisions

As you probably know, last Thursday, OPEC and their non-OPEC fellow decided to extend the so-called Vienna Accord during the recent summit in the capital of Austria. The mentioned agreement implies cutting oil production in order to back higher oil prices in the near future. The agreement was extended for 9 months – until the end of March 2018.

 

 
Publication date: 01 June 04:09 AM

Russian Economy Will Face Challenges After 2018

It’s getting more and more obvious that crude oil is not going to grow as expected, which is why the hopes laid by the Kremlin on higher oil prices and higher income from oil exports are probably not going to become a reality. Most likely, this is not going to happen over the next couple of years as well. Despite extending the Vienna Accord during the recent OPEC summit, the participants of the summit still cannot see the expected results as oil prices still haven’t shown any considerable rally, thereby indicating no significant progress.

Publication date: 28 May 11:46 PM

IMF Demands Land Reform From Ukraine

Pension and land reforms are the two questions on the agenda, without resolving which the Ukrainian government can forget about further loans from the International Monetary Funds.

Publication date: 28 May 11:30 PM

Standard & Poor’s Confirms Ukraine’s Rating

International rating agency Standard & Poor’s (S&P) has confirmed the long-term rating of Ukraine, both for national and foreign currencies. The rating is confirmed at «В-/В», with stable forecast for both national and foreign currencies.
 
S&P analysts underline that confirming the ratings reflects the progress achieved in the macroeconomic situation in Ukraine. The Ukrainian GDP is expected to grow by 1,9% this year.
 
Publication date: 28 May 11:08 AM

OPEC Extends Vienna Accord

The OPEC and their non-OPEC fellows are reported to have extended the so-called Vienna Accord today during the OPEC summit in the capital of Austria. The agreement designed to cut the participants’ oil production is expected to reduce the oversupply of crude oil in the global market in order to back higher oil prices. The agreement is extended for 9 months.
 
Publication date: 25 May 09:45 AM