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Tuesday, 27 June 07:46 (GMT -05:00)



Stock and commodities markets

Oil Prices Get Ready For Another Plunge


Crude oil and the Russian Ruble have found themselves at 3-month lows. There are several reasons for that.  In particular, OPEC is reported to be producing record-high amounts of crude oil despite the recent verbal agreement to cap and even cut their production in the near future.
 

 

 

 

At the same time, the U.S. presidential election 2016 ended up with a big surprise, making Donald Trump the 45th President of the United States of America. Experts say that the new administration may well increase the export of crude oil produced in the USA. All of that is making the global market of crude oil oversold, thereby pushing oil prices lower amid increasing oversupply.
 
On Monday, crude oil spent the trading day trading in the red zone. To be more specific, Brent oil futures for January delivery dropped below $44/b on that day. Apparently, OPEC’s actually oil production increase has been the key bearish driver for oil prices since then. According to several sources, OPEC increased their oil production by as much as 230K barrels a day in October 2016.  The new record is 33,83 million barrels a day. OPEC names slightly lower figures, but the essence is the same.
 
At the same time, the very fact that the global production of crude oil is growing in advance of the forthcoming OPEC summit seems scary to many international observers and market participants. The thing is that in late September, during the unofficial summit in Algeria, OPEC nations agreed to cap the cartel’s oil production to 32,5-33 million barrels. Still, as we can see, the agreement doesn’t seem to be working. Observers start questioning the agreement. They say that the next summit is unlikely to end up with signing the agreement and making it official.

 

 

At the same time, BMI Research analysts also assume that OPEC is unlikely to sing the promised agreement during the forthcoming summit. They say the cartel is not going to do it after Donald Trump’s unexpected victory during the U.S. presidential elections. The thing is, Donald Trump is the advocate and supporter of the U.S. energy independence.
 

 

PIRA Energy Group experts also say that the market doesn’t trust OPEC’s statements about the forthcoming agreement anymore. In October, oil prices used to be around $55/b supported by the promises to cap the production and shrink the oversupply in the global oil market. Hover, now, the prices are well below $45/b for a number of reasons, including those we have just mentioned.

Masterforex-V Academy experts say that if OPEC eventually fails to sing the agreement, oil prices may well crash all the way down to $35/b and below.

 

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Crude Oil Plunges Below $45/b

Oil prices keep on going down. Yesterday, for the first time since November 2016, the price of Brent oil dropped below $45/b. to be more specific, later on the trading day, a barrel of Brent oil cost $44,63 in London (ICE Futures). This means that the price dropped by 3% over the trading day. A day before, the trading session ended up with $46,02/b, NordFX reports. This is the lowest price since November 15, 2016.

 

 
Publication date: 21 June 11:36 PM

Trading Week Starts with Oil Price Drop

On Monday, June 19, crude oil is getting cheaper worldwide. Experts say that the price drop has to do with the recent report on the amount of oil rigs in the United States. In particular, the report says that the amount of such rigs has grown over the last week.
 

 

Baker Hughes reported on June 16 that 6 new rigs had been activated over the reporting period, thereby setting a new major high – 767 units, which is the biggest amount of functioning oil rigs since April 2015. By the way, the amount of oil rigs has been continuously growing over the last 22 weeks, which is also the new 30-year record.
Publication date: 19 June 02:27 AM

Brent Drops Below $48/b Amid Qatar’s Paradox

The Qatar crisis failed to push oil prices higher as expected by those who had previously extended the so-called Vienna Accord. Yesterday, on June 7, the global market of crude oil got feverish. The reasons for that was all about the tensions around Qatar, which is an oil exporter from the Persian Gulf.
 
Publication date: 08 June 01:17 AM

Russia Wants Expensive Oil. Is It Really That Beneficial for the Russian Economy?

As you probably know, both Russia and Saudi Arabia are interested in lower oil supply in the global market since the deficit is expected to push oil prices higher, thereby resulting in bigger profits from their oil exports further down the road. That is why they seem to be doing their best to contribute to this ambitious goal.

Publication date: 06 June 11:06 AM

Russian Oil Production to Hit New All-Time High This Year, ACRA Experts Say

According to the experts working for Analytical Credit Rating Agency (ACRA) from Russia, the long-awaited extension of the so-called Vienna Accord signed by OPEC and some of their non-OPEC peers led by Russia may eventually result in higher oil prices along with eliminating the long-lasting oversupply in the global market of crude oil. This is what the experts stated in the recent report on the prospects of the Russian oil industry until 2021.
 
Publication date: 05 June 01:07 PM

Oil Prices Don’t Care About OPEC’s Decisions

As you probably know, last Thursday, OPEC and their non-OPEC fellow decided to extend the so-called Vienna Accord during the recent summit in the capital of Austria. The mentioned agreement implies cutting oil production in order to back higher oil prices in the near future. The agreement was extended for 9 months – until the end of March 2018.

 

 
Publication date: 01 June 04:09 AM

Russian Economy Will Face Challenges After 2018

It’s getting more and more obvious that crude oil is not going to grow as expected, which is why the hopes laid by the Kremlin on higher oil prices and higher income from oil exports are probably not going to become a reality. Most likely, this is not going to happen over the next couple of years as well. Despite extending the Vienna Accord during the recent OPEC summit, the participants of the summit still cannot see the expected results as oil prices still haven’t shown any considerable rally, thereby indicating no significant progress.

Publication date: 28 May 11:46 PM

IMF Demands Land Reform From Ukraine

Pension and land reforms are the two questions on the agenda, without resolving which the Ukrainian government can forget about further loans from the International Monetary Funds.

Publication date: 28 May 11:30 PM

Standard & Poor’s Confirms Ukraine’s Rating

International rating agency Standard & Poor’s (S&P) has confirmed the long-term rating of Ukraine, both for national and foreign currencies. The rating is confirmed at «В-/В», with stable forecast for both national and foreign currencies.
 
S&P analysts underline that confirming the ratings reflects the progress achieved in the macroeconomic situation in Ukraine. The Ukrainian GDP is expected to grow by 1,9% this year.
 
Publication date: 28 May 11:08 AM

OPEC Extends Vienna Accord

The OPEC and their non-OPEC fellows are reported to have extended the so-called Vienna Accord today during the OPEC summit in the capital of Austria. The agreement designed to cut the participants’ oil production is expected to reduce the oversupply of crude oil in the global market in order to back higher oil prices. The agreement is extended for 9 months.
 
Publication date: 25 May 09:45 AM