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Wednesday, 24 May 05:23 (GMT -05:00)



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European Housing Market Outlook 2013


 

Foreign investors have always treated Europe like tourists treat places of interest.  That is why residential property in Europe is especially popular among foreigners (especially among those well-off people from the ex-USSR). They like buying apartments and villas in resort coastal areas of Spain , France, Italy and other EU countries. Moreover, residential property gives foreigners more rights in the Schengen Area.
 
 
Market Leader and Masterforex-V Academy tried to take a look in the near future of the EU housing market. First, let’s overview the market situation in 2012.
 
European Housing Market. 2012
 
The price changes weren’t smooth and unidirectional throughout the year.  Most housing markets in the EU were bearish. In Greece, Spain , Portugal , Netherlands and other eurozone states, the local housing markets are still declining amid uncertainty and instability caused by the continued eurozone crisis. People simply cannot afford to buy residential property. Some of them fail to pay their mortgage loans. The housing markets in Croatia and Latvia are the frontrunners in terms of price decline.
 
According to GlobalPropertyGuide.com, which monitors housing markets around the globe, 14 out of 23 monitored European housing markets are in decline. Only 9 of them are bullish. Moreover, the world’s 9 weakest housing markets also belong to Europe.
 
In particular, Greek residential property depreciated by 12.47% in 2012. Spanish property depreciated by 11,87% during the reporting period. At the same time, the Bulgarian and Turkish housing markets were down by 6,84% and 4,96% correspondingly.
For example:



1.      Spanish residential property. A villa in Costa Blanca North (Moraira), 240 sq. meters, 200 meters away from the sea.  It cost €577 500 in 2011. The current price is €525 000. This is a 10% decline.
 
 
 
2.      An apartment in Costa Blanca South (Punta Prima), 85 sq. meters, 200 meters away from the sea.  It cost €253 000 in 2011. The current price is €230 000.

 

 

 

 

1.       Turkish residential property. A villa in Antalya, 224 sq. meters, 200 meters away from the sea, personal parking lot. It cost €351 500 in 2011. The current price is €325 000.


 

 

 

 

1.      A townhouse in Antalya , 135 sq. meters, 500 meters away from the sea, swimming pool, developed infrastructure.  The current price is €239 000. This is a 9% decline. As compared to 2011.
 
 
 
The situation in Switzerland and the coastal area of France remain relatively stable. The housing prices in those regions are traditionally around the top of the price range. The demand of the residential property there is quite stable. The same can be said about several areas in Italy as well as London and Paris. 
 
Most experts assume that more investors will get interested in hotels in 2013.  
 
 

 

 

 

European Housing Market Outlook 2013
 
Experts anticipate a decline in the following European housing markets:
·         Spain (-40%)
·         Greece (-20%)
·         Italy (-15%)
 
The markets will keep showing weakness because of the crisis phenomena that can be seen in the mentioned economies. Some of them say that the sellers of the most liquid housing assets may wait till the situation improves.



1.      Italian residential property. They say there is a clear tendency that implies higher demand for luxurious residential property like villas, castles, mansions, penthouses.
 
At the same time, the prices on mid-class property are falling.  Moreover, more people start investing in fixed property under construction because the price is much lower than the one that will be set afterwards.
 
As for the north of Italy, which is usually considered to be the more prosperous area, it seems to be suffering from multiple crisis phenomena as well. Housing prices in the area are expected to fall in 2013.
 
The picture above represents a villa in Camaiore. In 2011, it cost €3 780 000. The current price is €3 600 000.
 
2.   Bulgarian residential property. They say the housing market will stabilize in 2013. The market used to show weakness because of undeveloped legislation.
 


 

1.      French residential property. The French housing market is expected to see stagnation in 2013.Even though some housing units located in resort areas may become more expensive, the increase won’t exceed 5-7%. The rest of the market won’t see any major changes.
 
 
The picture above represents an apartment in Nice. In 2011, it cost € 812 500. The current price is € 650 000.
 
 
In general, experts say that the overall tendency in Europe’s housing market will be positive. However, it is reasonable to purchase residential property for personal use only because leasing cannot be const-efficient at the point while it will be impossible to resell the property at a higher price in the near future.
 
 

 

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Macron Will Shift the Balance of Powers in the Normandy Format in Favor of Ukraine

For those of you who don’t know, the so-called Normandy format was created to resolve the difficult situation in the East of Ukraine. France is one of the participants. As you know, Emmanuel Macron has recently won the presidential election in France. This means that he is going to become the successor to Francois Hollande as President of France, participating in the Normandy format as the French representative.

 

 
Publication date: 17 May 08:48 AM

Stratfor Gave Prediction for the next 3 Months

The other day, Stratfor released another quarterly prediction for the global geopolitical situation.
 

 

According to the report, the USA will try to settle the nuclear dispute with North Korea. Europe will be waiting for the results of the presidential election in France. Russia will dive even deeper into the local problems. The OPEC will extend the Vienna Accord aimed at cutting oil production.
 
Publication date: 10 May 10:26 AM

The Price of Defeating North Korea May Be Too High

These days, more and more experts start talking about a possible war against North Korea. However, they also say that the price of defeating North Korea may be too high for the USA and its allies.

 

 
For now, North Korea seems to have made considerable progress in creating nuclear arms, which is something that worries the entire world, especially as North Korea keeps on making harsh statements and threatening the USA, South Korea and Japan. The recent test launch of ballistic missiles in North Korea are now treated as wake-up call and real threat. Theoretically, there is a threat that North Korea may hit American military facilities located in Japan and South Korea. As the US Navy is moving closer to the Korean peninsula, international observers are talking about the possibility of another armed conflict between North and South Korea, even though both of them are still at war with each other.
Publication date: 26 April 01:16 PM

Sixteen Structural Reforms Is the Cost of the Next IMF Tranche to Ukraine

Anders Aslund, a Swedish economist and a Senior Fellow at the Atlantic Council, commented on the current and future cooperation between the IMF and Ukraine. He claims that Kiev will have to implement at least 16 structural reforms in order to get another tranche from the International Monetary Fund. He also explained why the IMF is still cooperating with Ukraine.

Publication date: 26 April 11:01 AM

Putin Underestimated Ukrainians When Invading Ukraine, Atlantic Council

American private institution Atlantic Council assumes that Vladimir Putin underestimated the Ukrainians when invading Ukraine.
 

 

They say that the hybrid war started by Russia in Ukraine has been going on for the 4th year. There were times when nobody believed that Ukraine would hold on even for 4 weeks. The thing is, the Crimea was annexed without any fight, which made international experts believe that Ukraine was weak and completely dependent on Russia. This stand point used to be popular in Moscow as well. Some Russian politicians expected a complete victory in a couple of months, but back than Ukraine was vulnerable after the revolution, which lead to the end of Yanukovich’s regime, while the temporary government was lacking legitimacy to seriously resist Russia. Back then, Russia got a chance to occupy the rest of Ukraine. Vladimir Putin seemed to be encouraged by the success in the Crimea.
Publication date: 26 April 08:37 AM

Experts on Statements Made by Russian Officials about Russian Economic Recovery

International experts have commented on the recent statements made by several Russian officials about some economic recovery in Russia. They say that the weak economic growth isn’t backed by higher standards of living in the Russian Federation.

Publication date: 23 April 02:05 AM

USA Today Names the Reasons Why the USA Is Concerned about the Situation in Ukraine

USA Today has named the reasons why the United states should be concerned about the armed conflict in the East of Ukraine.

 

Previously, US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson asked his European colleagues why American taxpayers should be concerned about the situation in Ukraine. The answer came from his French colleague, who said that the United States should be interested in a strong Europe. On top of that, there are some other reasons why the USA shouldn’t stop thinking about Ukraine.

Publication date: 21 April 12:00 PM

Trump's Plan on Syria: Russia to Stay in Syria, Asad Has to Leave

At this point, several media sources, including Associated Press, report they know the details of the offer brought by Rex Tillerson to Moscow during his official visit. Now, everyone seems to be wondering what exactly Rex Tillerson and Sergey Lavrov discussed during their meeting in Moscow.
 

 

First of all, the sources claim that the USA is ready to unite forces with Russia to destroy the ISIS once and for all. Secondly, Bashar Asad has to quit anyway. He will be even allowed to go to Russia or Iran to avoid prosecution. Thirdly, a temporary government need to be established in Syria to back stabilization and holding a democratic election in Syria. Russia can stay in Syria to back security but they shouldn’t interfere with the local politics.
Publication date: 18 April 11:34 PM

Today's Russia-US Relations Are Worse Than During Obama’s Administration

At this point, the bilateral relations between Moscow and Washington are even worse than they used to be during Obama’s administration. This is what President Putin thinks on the matter.

 

 
Even though the Russian president thinks so, he hasn’t commented on the details of this degradation in the bilateral relations between the 2 superpowers. He assumes that the level of trust between the United States and the Russian Federation has dropped, especially on the military level.
 
Publication date: 18 April 11:05 PM

Will North Korea Become Another Syria for the USA?

The latest events in Syria made many international observers change their mind regarding President Trump. The current conditions also show that getting rid of North-Korean leader Kim Jong Un may also become a major goal for President Trump.

 

 
The news that U.S. aircraft carrier Carl Vinson suddenly reversed and moved to the Western part of the Pacific Ocean in the direction of the Korean Peninsula attracted the interest of the international community. Given the 59 missiles launched to hit a Syrian airbase a couple of weeks ago, this maneuver of the aircraft carrier does raise a lot of concerns.
Publication date: 18 April 03:29 AM