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Trader Loses JP Morgan’s $2 Billion: Consequences For Wall Street


Last week’s headlines screamed about a sensation: J.P. Morgan Chase & Co, one of the largest US banks in terms of assets, lost $2 billion. However, Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, assured everyone that no client had suffered from that. Moreover, according to him, the bank will finish this quarter with a surplus even despite the major loss. President Obama also helped JP Morgan to extinguish the fire by saying that JP Morgan’s management staff is the best in the US banking sector, so the US authorities won’t interfere with the bank’s activities due to its high productivity. However, the Federal Reserve is determined to start special investigation.
 
What really happened? Why do the US Authorities stay calm? What does it mean for J.P. Morgan’s investors?
 
$2B Loss: Economic Fail Or Political Game?
 
According to Eugene Olkhovsky, Masterforex-V Academy ’s leading expert in financial markets form Canada, J.P. Morgan changed the Chief Investment Officer instantly after the incident.
Some experts say that Neither Obama’s administration nor the US banking system will benefit from the scandal. J.P. Morgan’s stock dropped by 6.5% shortly after the news. Other major US banks followed J.P. Morgan: Citigroup’s stock lost 3,6%, Bank of America –2,6%, Goldman Sachs –2,4% etc. Fitch Ratings downgraded J.P. Morgan’s rating from АА– down to А+. The forecast changed from stable to negative.
 
Moreover, the current political situation in the country (run-up to the forthcoming presidential elections) didn’t let the authorities to hush up the scandal: both the Democrats and the Republicans are trying to use it as a weapon in the battle for the electorate.
 
Tips For Investors: Is It Possible To Lose $2bn Accidentally?
 
Bruno Michel Iksil, a trader form London (aka “London Whale”), opened multiple trades in the derivatives market to the amount of $100bn, anticipating an improvement in the credit market. However, because of Spain and other negative factors, the risks escalated and in 6 weeks J.P. Morgan lost $2bn.
 
But is it possible to lose $2bn accidentally? According to Masterforex-V Academy experts, the current situation around J.P. Morgan seems to have much in common with Lehman Brothers’ bankruptcy, which initiated the global economic crisis in 2008. The situation in the derivatives market can change in the blink of an eye. So it is impossible to sell them out fast so as to avoid major losses. How come that J.P. Morgan’s traders didn’t take this factor into account when investing in derivatives?
 
It is interesting to know that J.P. Morgan’s top managers were informed about the problems in the bank’s investment department a month ago. However, somehow they ignored that the risks doubled from $88mn up to $170mn (y/y). They were aware of the risks long before the incident. In late April traders tried to reduce the exposure but, as we can see, it was too late. By the way, Bruno Michel Iksil is still working for J.P. Morgan unlike Ina Drew, who used to be the banks’ Chief Investment Officer.
 
 
Gaining Control Over Wall Street
 
According to Masterforex-V Academy, the incident with J.P. Morgan seems to have revived the debates over Barack Obama’s financial reform, which is considered as his administration’s biggest achievement. President Obama signed the financial-market regulation bill in 2010 when the Democrats represented the majority in the US Congress and managed to pass the bill despite the Republicans’ opposition.
 
Obama’s financial reform implies the elimination of the following 3 key factors:
·         the absence of control of Wall Street (i.e. over the US banking system)
·         the absence of the mechanism of monitoring those US financial institutions, the financial activity of which threatens the US economic security.
·         the absence of regulation for non-banking financial institutions
Moreover, it was planned to found a standalone institution under the Federal Reserve to provide security to US consumers of financial services.
However, for some reason the financial reform has failed to take full effect. Therefore, the scandal with J.P. Morgan allows Obama’s administration to accelerate the implementation of the reform.
 
They say this is the biggest financial reform since the Great Depression. According to Masterforex-V academy, if it had been implemented before 2008, the world would have avoided the global crisis.
 
Political Regulation Of US Financial Flows
According to the analytic team of Forex Trend (TOP 10 of Masterforex-V Academy’s rating of Forex brokers ), political scientists are sure that the situation in the US financial sector will become the key factor in the run-up to the USA’s presidential elections.
 
Anyway, Masterforex-V Academy experts are sure that the incident with J.P. Morgan will have serious consequences both for the US financial system and the entire world. It will give the US authorities an opportunity to establish control over the US financial sector and to deprive it of excessive liquidity.
 
Market Leader and Masterforex-V Academy would appreciate if you could participate in a survey. Please, visit the Academy’s forum for traders and investors and answer the following question:
 
In your opinion, what will be the consequences of J.P. Morgan’s loss?
 

 

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Bernanke Says It’s Premature To Curtail QE

 

 

Yesterday, on May 22nd, Ben Bernanke held a speech in the US Congress. This time, the Congress considered the possibility of curtailing the existing QE program prematurely because the programs seemed to have given positive results.
 
Publication date: 23 May 07:47 AM

EURUSD: Rapid Decline and Consequences

 

 

Yesterday, on March 22nd, the common European currency made a strong and sharp decline versus the US Dollar. Therefore, the previous recovery that last for nearly 3 days was almost entirely leveled.
Publication date: 23 May 06:27 AM

FBS: Beneficial Affiliate Program

 

These days, anyone can make money trading Forex and other financial markets. The opportunities are almost endless. Still most traders still lose in the long run. While some lack experience and skills, others fall prey to emotions or fail to stick to sound money management. There are many reasons for losses. Few people actually make money in the long run because they treat trading seriously like a full-time job and work hard to achieve their goals. They use technical and fundamental analyses and strictly observe money management rules. They use various tricks and techniques to put the odds in their favor.
 
Apparently, beginners have difficulty trading financial markets without knowledge, skills and experience. Becoming a professional trader requires diligence, patience and time.
 
However, today’s Forex industry offers riskless moneymaking opportunities, which require no trading skills. You can make money without trading Forex. One of such opportunities is offered by FBS, a major Forex broker. The broker claims to offer “The most profitable and efficient IB Program on Forex”…
 
Let’s have a closer look at it:
Publication date: 22 May 09:20 AM

Jeroen Dijsselbloem’s Prophesy Starts Coming True

 

 

Yesterday, on May 21st, was a notable day for the eurozone. The Euro Parliament approved the Euro Group’s idea to use major deposits over 100 000 in emergency situations to save a risky bank. Deposits under 100 000 are ensured by the compensation scheme.
 
Publication date: 22 May 07:08 AM

NZDUSD: NZ Dollar Weakens For 4 Weeks

 

 

The latest strengthening of the New Zealand Dollar after a major decline is seen as a correction.
Publication date: 22 May 06:22 AM

MasterForex-V: +25% a Month on Cent Account

 

Most beginning traders are sure that it is possible to trade Forex profitably and easily. They usually assume that perfunctory knowledge is enough to make money in financial markets in general and Forex in particular. Alas, they are wrong. Obviously, it is possible to trade Forex profitable. However, it cannot be done without specific knowledge, skills and experience.

This delusion is the main reason why they lose in the long run. As a result, most of those losing beginners get disappointed at Forex and abandon the idea of becoming a winning trader forever. Some of them even start call it a scam or fraud. Some of them put the blame on brokers while others refer to bad luck.
 
Essentially, Forex has nothing to do with scams. Apparently, you may come across some dirty broking companies but that has nothing to do with Forex itself. Besides, such scammers can easily be avoided by following a few simple rules. However, this is another story (Masterforex-V Academy told us many times how to choose a reliable broker). 
 
Publication date: 21 May 12:44 PM

USDJPY Outlook

 

 

Stimulating the Japanese economy seems to be finally paying off. The real GDP in Japan grew by 3,5% in Q1 2013, which is the best performance seen over the last 12 months.
 
Publication date: 20 May 05:32 PM

EURUSD: Intraday Outlook

 

 

Today, on May 20th, Forex started a new trading week. There have been no radical changes in the market of EURUSD so far. The previous bearish move was elongated by some 200 points. The price keeps developing the ABC pattern of wave level Daily. The move hasn’t reached any of the given targets so far.
Publication date: 20 May 06:15 AM

Experts: EURUSD Will Drop Down To 1,15

 

 

It seems like more and more experts feel bearish on the near-term prospects of the common European currency. Some of them say that EURUSD may even drop down to 1,15 in late 2013. If this is the case, this will be the lowest level in 10 years.
 
Publication date: 17 May 10:35 AM

Japanese Yen: Market Outlook

 

 

The current weakening of the Japanese Yen was fairly predictable for investors. However, after USDJPY exceeded the 100 limit, experts got divided over the prospects of the currency pair.
 
Publication date: 17 May 06:27 AM