Bond yields have risen again, the euro zone has been hit by a fresh wave of doubt over its ability to manage the sovereign debt crisis and the UK finds itself in recession once again, so why has gold fallen $40 per ounce this week?
To quote Shakespeare, “All that glitters is not gold; often you have heard that told”. Traditionally gold thrives in turbulent markets since it is regarded by investors as a safe haven asset, but a surprisingly strong U.S. dollar has quelled the price of gold. In fact the strong greenback has done more than just negate the euro zone impact; it has caused the price to retreat. As the graph below shows, gold has been locked in a downward trend channel this week. This is a perfect example of how one cannot hope to predict the movement of gold by looking at only one dimension; its valuation is the product of many variables.
Spot Gold (Dollars per ounce) for the week beginning April 30 th
The decline represents gold’s biggest weekly drop for a month as it plunged towards the psychological $1600 per ounce level.
The dollar has strengthened against a majority of major currencies resulting in dollar-priced commodities, such as gold, becoming weighed down. Far from the U.S, in India, a weak Indian Rupee has made dollar priced commodities relatively expensive for buyers, curbing demand in the world’s largest consumer of bullion.
U.S. non-farm pay rolls data fell short of expectations on Friday which did see gold briefly jump to $1640 per ounce; although moving outside the trend channel it almost instantly retreated back within the range. Lower than expected figures will further fuel speculation of more quantitative easing by the Federal Reserve, which would hurt the dollar and help gold reverse its recent losses.
Crude oil keeps on going down in value. At this point, both WTI and Brent prices have been going down for 3 months in a row. As stated in the previous forecast, crude oil reached $50/b in July, which was followed by a market plunge all the way down to $41/b.
The global market of crude oil keeps on crashing as the U.S. Dollar is going up in value and the global oversupply of crude oil is still growing amid lower demand for it. At the same time, the U.S. crude oil inventories are getting more massive, which is an other bearish factor exerting downward pressure on oil prices.
Gold and Oil Prices Plunge As Chinese Yuan Sees Devaluation
Sensational data coming from China have been affecting financial market so far. Amid the devaluation of the Chinese Yuan, commodities are going down in value as well, including gold and crude oil, Market Leader reports.
In late July – early August, crude oil resumed its downtrend again. In particular, the prices crashed all the way down to January’s lows. The price of a barrel of Brent oil is now fluctuating around $49-$50, which is twice as cheap as 12 months ago.
According to the analysts of KGI Securities, which have been sharing relatively reliable insider information regarding Apple products, now claim that the production of Apple iPhone 6s and Apple iPhone 6s Plus is going to be delayed, the Hi-Tech Department of Market Leader reports.
The never-ending downtrend in the market of crude oil is still underway, Market Leader reports. As the oversupply is going bigger and bigger and the demand for crude oil is still at its lows, crude oil is going down in value. In particular, WTI oil dropped down to $43,27 per barrel at the end of Monday’s trading session.
OPEC Planning Another Emergency Summit As Oil Prices Crash
OPEC doesn’t deny the possibility of holding another emergency summit in the near future. At this point, OPEC members are reported to be discussing the issue. According to Masterforex-V Academy the major reason why OPEC is planning the summit is the fact that oil prices resumed its downtrend while experiencing downward pressure coming from the increasing oversupply of crude oil in the global market.
The never-ending bearish trend in the global market of crude oil is still underway. Yesterday, at the end of the trading day, the price of WTI crude oil declined below $45 per barrel, Masterforex-V Academy reports.
In particular, at the ned of the American trading session, WTI (West Texas Intermediate) saw a 1.7% drop and broke through the $45/b support on its way down to new local lows. The trading day closed at $44,81/b. Masterforex-V Academy reports that this is the lowest price since March 19th, 2015.
Despite the fact that Chinese authorities have been doing their best to save the local stock market from seen an even deeper crash, there efforts have been inefficient and uncoordinated and have failed so far.
Yesterday, on August 4th, the Chinese government held an emergency summit together with the leading financial experts in China. The Prime Minister urged the expert to work out an efficient solution to cap the crash until it is too late. At the same time he insists on tighter cooperation between the People’s Bank of China, the Chinese Ministry of Finance as well as stock market regulators and major banks.
There are several weeks until Apple is going to introduce a new series of mobile devices – iPhone 6s and 6s Plus. That is why more and more web sources keep on posting rumors and sneak pics of the would-be devices.