Gold And Silver: Daily Market Outlook. April 26th 2012.
Thu, 26 Apr 2012 08:59:00 +0400
The Federal Reserve has left the key interest rate unchanged. During the recent interview, Ben Bernanke confirmed the bank’s record-low-rates policy till the end of 2014. The Fed Res looks determined to act if the economic situation worsens. The central bank has improved its forecast for the US economic growth in 2012, simultaneously confirming that the rate of inflation is within the target rage. The forecasts for 2013 and 2014 are downgraded due to heavier taxation and more substantial spending cuts.
Yesterday the US stock gained on positive quarterly reports and Bernanke’s speech. However, the demand for the US T-bonds increased as well. The results of today’s bond auction will probably clarify the situation. There are suppositions that the market will be looking for signs of an economic slowdown in today’s unemployment report.
In the meantime, most Spanish banks have passed the stress-tests arranged by the IMF. Mario Draghi, ECB President, urged the eurozone authorities to implement structural reforms in order to support the economic recovery in the area. Angela Merkel backed this idea.
The Japanese authorities keep urging the Bank of Japan to continue stimulating the national economy. All the economic sectors showed poor performance (worse than expected).
Yesterday gold prices recovered and showed intensions for further growth. Asian dealers report that India’s gold export shrank by 50% y/y. The eurozone crisis and political risks around the world will be the major market drivers.
In particular, North Korea is “playing” with its missiles, threatening its southern neighbor. The nuclear tests may resume anytime. Pakistan has recently tested its mid-range ballistic missiles, which are capable of carrying nuclear warheads.
According to Commodity Trading Department of Masterforex-V Academy, gold prices keep rallying. The probable targets are 1657, 1664, 1675. A test of 1642 is expected throughout the day, if successful, the price may reach 1638 and 1633.
30.90 is the closest major level of resistance for silver, a re-test is expected. If an h1 price bar closes above 30.90 we may see a rally up to 31.0, 31.25. A failure to consolidate above 30.90 may result in a rebound down to 30.35, 30.25. A break and consolidation below 30.35 will give way to 30.0, 29.90.
Crude oil keeps on going down in value. At this point, both WTI and Brent prices have been going down for 3 months in a row. As stated in the previous forecast, crude oil reached $50/b in July, which was followed by a market plunge all the way down to $41/b.
The global market of crude oil keeps on crashing as the U.S. Dollar is going up in value and the global oversupply of crude oil is still growing amid lower demand for it. At the same time, the U.S. crude oil inventories are getting more massive, which is an other bearish factor exerting downward pressure on oil prices.
Gold and Oil Prices Plunge As Chinese Yuan Sees Devaluation
Sensational data coming from China have been affecting financial market so far. Amid the devaluation of the Chinese Yuan, commodities are going down in value as well, including gold and crude oil, Market Leader reports.
In late July – early August, crude oil resumed its downtrend again. In particular, the prices crashed all the way down to January’s lows. The price of a barrel of Brent oil is now fluctuating around $49-$50, which is twice as cheap as 12 months ago.
According to the analysts of KGI Securities, which have been sharing relatively reliable insider information regarding Apple products, now claim that the production of Apple iPhone 6s and Apple iPhone 6s Plus is going to be delayed, the Hi-Tech Department of Market Leader reports.
The never-ending downtrend in the market of crude oil is still underway, Market Leader reports. As the oversupply is going bigger and bigger and the demand for crude oil is still at its lows, crude oil is going down in value. In particular, WTI oil dropped down to $43,27 per barrel at the end of Monday’s trading session.
OPEC Planning Another Emergency Summit As Oil Prices Crash
OPEC doesn’t deny the possibility of holding another emergency summit in the near future. At this point, OPEC members are reported to be discussing the issue. According to Masterforex-V Academy the major reason why OPEC is planning the summit is the fact that oil prices resumed its downtrend while experiencing downward pressure coming from the increasing oversupply of crude oil in the global market.
The never-ending bearish trend in the global market of crude oil is still underway. Yesterday, at the end of the trading day, the price of WTI crude oil declined below $45 per barrel, Masterforex-V Academy reports.
In particular, at the ned of the American trading session, WTI (West Texas Intermediate) saw a 1.7% drop and broke through the $45/b support on its way down to new local lows. The trading day closed at $44,81/b. Masterforex-V Academy reports that this is the lowest price since March 19th, 2015.
Despite the fact that Chinese authorities have been doing their best to save the local stock market from seen an even deeper crash, there efforts have been inefficient and uncoordinated and have failed so far.
Yesterday, on August 4th, the Chinese government held an emergency summit together with the leading financial experts in China. The Prime Minister urged the expert to work out an efficient solution to cap the crash until it is too late. At the same time he insists on tighter cooperation between the People’s Bank of China, the Chinese Ministry of Finance as well as stock market regulators and major banks.
There are several weeks until Apple is going to introduce a new series of mobile devices – iPhone 6s and 6s Plus. That is why more and more web sources keep on posting rumors and sneak pics of the would-be devices.