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Gold And Silver: Daily Market Outlook. April 26th 2012.

Gold And Silver: Daily Market Outlook. April 26th 2012.

 

 

The Federal Reserve has left the key interest rate unchanged. During the recent interview, Ben Bernanke confirmed the bank’s record-low-rates policy till the end of 2014. The Fed Res looks determined to act if the economic situation worsens. The central bank has improved its forecast for the US economic growth in 2012, simultaneously confirming that the rate of inflation is within the target rage.  The forecasts for 2013 and 2014 are downgraded due to heavier taxation and more substantial spending cuts.

 

 

 

 

 

 
Yesterday the US stock gained on positive quarterly reports and Bernanke’s speech. However, the demand for the US T-bonds increased as well. The results of today’s bond auction will probably clarify the situation. There are suppositions that the market will be looking for signs of an economic slowdown in today’s unemployment report.
 
In the meantime, most Spanish banks have passed the stress-tests arranged by the IMF. Mario Draghi, ECB President, urged the eurozone authorities to implement structural reforms in order to support the economic recovery in the area. Angela Merkel backed this idea.
 
The Japanese authorities keep urging the Bank of Japan to continue stimulating the national economy. All the economic sectors showed poor performance (worse than expected).
 
Yesterday gold prices recovered and showed intensions for further growth. Asian dealers report that India’s gold export shrank by 50% y/y. The eurozone crisis and political risks around the world will be the major market drivers.
 
In particular, North Korea is “playing” with its missiles, threatening its southern neighbor. The nuclear tests may resume anytime. Pakistan has recently tested its mid-range ballistic missiles, which are capable of carrying nuclear warheads.
 
Forecast:
 
According to Commodity Trading Department of Masterforex-V Academy, gold prices keep rallying. The probable targets are 1657, 1664, 1675. A test of 1642 is expected throughout the day, if successful, the price may reach 1638 and 1633.
 
30.90 is the closest major level of resistance for silver, a re-test is expected. If an h1 price bar closes above 30.90 we may see a rally up to 31.0, 31.25. A failure to consolidate above 30.90 may result in a rebound down to 30.35, 30.25. A break and consolidation below 30.35 will give way to 30.0, 29.90.

 

 

 

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