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Gold And Silver: Daily Market Outlook. April 26th 2012.

Gold And Silver: Daily Market Outlook. April 26th 2012.

 

 

The Federal Reserve has left the key interest rate unchanged. During the recent interview, Ben Bernanke confirmed the bank’s record-low-rates policy till the end of 2014. The Fed Res looks determined to act if the economic situation worsens. The central bank has improved its forecast for the US economic growth in 2012, simultaneously confirming that the rate of inflation is within the target rage.  The forecasts for 2013 and 2014 are downgraded due to heavier taxation and more substantial spending cuts.

 

 

 

 

 

 
Yesterday the US stock gained on positive quarterly reports and Bernanke’s speech. However, the demand for the US T-bonds increased as well. The results of today’s bond auction will probably clarify the situation. There are suppositions that the market will be looking for signs of an economic slowdown in today’s unemployment report.
 
In the meantime, most Spanish banks have passed the stress-tests arranged by the IMF. Mario Draghi, ECB President, urged the eurozone authorities to implement structural reforms in order to support the economic recovery in the area. Angela Merkel backed this idea.
 
The Japanese authorities keep urging the Bank of Japan to continue stimulating the national economy. All the economic sectors showed poor performance (worse than expected).
 
Yesterday gold prices recovered and showed intensions for further growth. Asian dealers report that India’s gold export shrank by 50% y/y. The eurozone crisis and political risks around the world will be the major market drivers.
 
In particular, North Korea is “playing” with its missiles, threatening its southern neighbor. The nuclear tests may resume anytime. Pakistan has recently tested its mid-range ballistic missiles, which are capable of carrying nuclear warheads.
 
Forecast:
 
According to Commodity Trading Department of Masterforex-V Academy, gold prices keep rallying. The probable targets are 1657, 1664, 1675. A test of 1642 is expected throughout the day, if successful, the price may reach 1638 and 1633.
 
30.90 is the closest major level of resistance for silver, a re-test is expected. If an h1 price bar closes above 30.90 we may see a rally up to 31.0, 31.25. A failure to consolidate above 30.90 may result in a rebound down to 30.35, 30.25. A break and consolidation below 30.35 will give way to 30.0, 29.90.

 

 

 

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World Bank Raises Oil Forecast 2016

It is interesting to watch more and more experts improving their oil forecasts for 2016. The World Bank experts are some of them. To be more specific, they expect the oversupply currently seen in the global market of crude oil to shrink in the coming months. If that’s the case, this is definitely going to push oil prices higher.

Publication date: 28 April 10:19 AM

Apple Sees Its Stock Crash By 7% On NASDAQ Opening

It is reported that Apple’s stock has lost 7% of tis value in an instance straight after NASDAQ opened. At the same time, Market Leader reports that since the latest quarterly report, Apple have lost 30 billion dollars of its market capitalization. To be more specific, the market cap of dropped by 7,5% all the way down to 526 billion dollars just in 30 minutes after yesterday’s NASDAQ opening.

 

 

 

Publication date: 28 April 07:58 AM

Experts On Why You Shouldn’t Trust Short-Term And Mid-Term Oil Forecast

After most of the fundamentals out there were priced into the market, crude oil turned into the most unpredictable asset to trade. Undoubtedly, when another major wave of the global financial crisis is picking up speed, the bearish bias is stronger than the bullish one over the long term. That said, the likelihood of oil prices seen further lows is higher than another major rally in he international market of crude oil. Still, if to consider the short-term and mid-term perspectives, the situation looks rather ambiguous.

 

 
Publication date: 27 April 07:29 PM

Doha Oil Summit Failure Testifies To OPEC’s Death?

For those of you who don't know, the recent oil summit in Doha, Qatar has failed to end up with an agreement aimed at urging major oil-exporting nations to freeze their oil production quotas at January’s levels. Instantly after the new, the oil market crashed by 7% but then recovered. Still, more experts believe that this event may have serious consequences for the entire oil markets, including another bear market, as well as the end of OPEC as we know it.

Publication date: 26 April 07:48 AM

Experts on Fate of Crude Oil and Russian Ruble Until Next OPEC Summit

As you probably know, the recent oil summit in Qatar failed to end up with an agreement between all the participating oil-exporting nations to freeze their oil production quotas at the level of early January 2016. This triggered an instant reaction of crude oil and the Russian Ruble, which slightly lost a bit of the recently regained ground against the U.S. Dollar.

Publication date: 19 April 11:10 AM

Reuters Names Comfortable Oil Prices For Russia

If you have been trading crude oil for a while, you are aware of the fact that Russia is a major player in the international market of crude oil. It is a major producer and exporter of crude oil, which means its economy and national currency is heavily dependent on oil exports and oil prices. The lower the prices go, the less considerable profit Russia gets from exporting crude oil.  
 
Publication date: 18 April 12:29 PM

Apple Is Planning To Cut Its iPhone Production In Q2 2016

More and more online media sources report that Apple is actually planning to slow down its iPhone production in the second quarter of 2016. It is reported that the key reason for Apple deciding to cut down on the production is the fact that iPhone sales are slowing down.

Publication date: 18 April 12:28 PM

Brent Oil Drops By 7% As Doha Oil Summit Fails

After the international community learned that the recent oil summit in Qatar had ended up with no results, the oil market in London showed a sharp decline over the first couple of minutes. To be more specific, Brent oil lost 7% of its value at a time, thereby seeing its price go down to $40,16/b. Still, there was no further downtrend. The price recovered a little bit and reached $40,71 a few hours later. As for WTI oil, the price also dropped by approximately the same amount of percent points.

Publication date: 18 April 12:04 PM

Iran Raises Oil Production To 3,5M Barrels / Day

Iran is reported to have increased its oil production all he way up to 3,5 million barrels a day. This is reported by Mehr with reference to Mr. Javadi, Iranian Deputy Minister of Oil as well as Managing Director National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC). At the same time, the Deputy Minister doesn’t deny the possibility of raising the oil production even more given the recently signed agreements. At the same time, he reports that Iran is going to increase its oil exports all the way up to 2 million barrel a day in a matter of days.
 
Publication date: 18 April 08:53 AM

Apple Gonna Slow Down iPhone Production In Q2 2016

According to Nikkei with reference to some suppliers of Apple products closely connected with the corporation, Apple is going to slow down the production of iPhone this quarter – April through June 2016. They say that the major reason why Apple decided to cut the production is the fact that iPhone sales are slowing down.
 
Publication date: 18 April 06:59 AM