The analysts at Lazard Capital Markets assume the ECB is going to continue its LTRO(Long Term Refinancing Operation). The peripheral eurozone economies have been successfully placing their bonds since the ECB started the LTRO. The first transaction (489B euro) was made on Dec 21st 2011. At this point, the European market is short of funds. That is why the Spanish and Italian bond yields are growing. The next round of the LTRO is expected to take place in the near future. According to Art Hogan, chief strategist at Lazard Capital Markets, the ECB is expected to be purchasing bonds as well as the risky eurozone countries will need more time for structural reforms.
The LTRO implies expanding the money supply, which has a positive impact on stocks. The major difference between LTRO and QE is that the former allows the banking system to get the money almost instantly while the later implies gradual bond purchases with a specific period.
According to Masterforex-V Academy, EURUSD stays flattish. The price is fluctuating within the 1,3057-1,3165 range. A break below the MF pivot 1,3060, with a bearish FZR below it, will trigger a downswing. Alternatively, a break and consolidation above 1,3148 will reverse the mid-term downtrend.
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Yesterday, the common European currency was under pressure exerted by the sellers.
EURUSD started going down since the local high of 1.3218. By the endo of the trading day, the price reached 1.3159. his is still the local low.
Yesterday, we saw positive stats coming from the USA. They concerned the local labor and housing market. In particular, the amount of initial jobless claims shrank from 299 000 down to 298 000 last week, which is definitely a positive sing for those who purchase the US Dollar.
At the same time, the amount of incomplete sales in the local housing market increased up to 3.3% in August. The sales increase took place from 102.5 points up to 105.9 points.
Today, on August 29th, Japan delivered a news block of 4 economic reports during today's Asian trading session. The news block indicates that the economic recovery seen after the recent sales tax increase is unstable and inconsistent. Most likely, the recovery period is going to be longer than expected by the Bank of Japan.
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The strong downward pressure exerted by the sellers of EURUSD weakened a little bit suring yesterday's trading hours. After hitting a local low at 1.3152, the common European currency started regaining some of the lost ground against the US Dollar. The bullish recovery took almost the entire trading day amid a lack of major economic news from the Eurozone and the USA.
The sellers' pressure exerted on the common European currency is still underway. Since the nightly low of 1,3152, the currency pair recovered during the entire European trading session of August 27th but the started going down again. The price level of 1.3188 is still the intraday high.
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