Gold And Silver: Daily Market Outlook. April 17th 2012
Tue, 17 Apr 2012 05:55:00 +0400
The US retails sales grew more than expected. The Federal Reserve’s focus is on the current condition of the US economy, which can either confirm or disprove the positive US employment stats.
The eurozone’s trade balance showed a surplus. However, the surplus turned out to be less substantial than expected. Today Spain is to start another bond auction. Investors are concerned about the fact that last month Spanish banks had to borrow from the ECB as much as 316B euro.
Japan is ready to supply the IMF with $60B in order to help the eurozone resolve its debt crisis. Japan’s manufacturing production report came out worse than expected.
The direct investments in China have been shrinking for the 5th consecutive month despite the central bank’s efforts to increase the quotes for foreign investors. China has increased the purchases of US bonds for the 2nd month in a row.
Amid China’s economic slowdown, the RBA is ready to cut the interest rates if the there is an inflation decline.
Iran seems to be ready to resolve all the nuclear issues with the Western powers if they ease the sanctions. Israel keeps urging Iran to stop uranium enrichment completely.
Yesterday’s trading volume in the market of gold was one of the lowest in 2012. The СОМЕХ report showed a sharp increase in silver reserves amid higher production of silver and lower demand for it. The silver reserves are around the 10-year record.
According to the Commodity Trading Department of Masterforex-V Academy, today gold may continue its downtrend to 1645-1644 after consolidating below 1650. If the price consolidates below 1643 it will give way to 1625, 1620, and maybe 1610. Alternatively, if the price fails to consolidate below 1650 and consolidates above 1653, it will get a chance to rally up to 1660. In order to resume a major rally, the price will have to break and consolidate above 1660.
Silver continues its downtrend. Once an H1 price bar closes below 31.35, the price may go further down 31.25, 31-30.90, 30.50. Alternatively, a failure to consolidate below 31.35 and a break above 31.45 will increase the probability of testing 31.75.
Crude oil keeps on going down in value. At this point, both WTI and Brent prices have been going down for 3 months in a row. As stated in the previous forecast, crude oil reached $50/b in July, which was followed by a market plunge all the way down to $41/b.
The global market of crude oil keeps on crashing as the U.S. Dollar is going up in value and the global oversupply of crude oil is still growing amid lower demand for it. At the same time, the U.S. crude oil inventories are getting more massive, which is an other bearish factor exerting downward pressure on oil prices.
Gold and Oil Prices Plunge As Chinese Yuan Sees Devaluation
Sensational data coming from China have been affecting financial market so far. Amid the devaluation of the Chinese Yuan, commodities are going down in value as well, including gold and crude oil, Market Leader reports.
In late July – early August, crude oil resumed its downtrend again. In particular, the prices crashed all the way down to January’s lows. The price of a barrel of Brent oil is now fluctuating around $49-$50, which is twice as cheap as 12 months ago.
According to the analysts of KGI Securities, which have been sharing relatively reliable insider information regarding Apple products, now claim that the production of Apple iPhone 6s and Apple iPhone 6s Plus is going to be delayed, the Hi-Tech Department of Market Leader reports.
The never-ending downtrend in the market of crude oil is still underway, Market Leader reports. As the oversupply is going bigger and bigger and the demand for crude oil is still at its lows, crude oil is going down in value. In particular, WTI oil dropped down to $43,27 per barrel at the end of Monday’s trading session.
OPEC Planning Another Emergency Summit As Oil Prices Crash
OPEC doesn’t deny the possibility of holding another emergency summit in the near future. At this point, OPEC members are reported to be discussing the issue. According to Masterforex-V Academy the major reason why OPEC is planning the summit is the fact that oil prices resumed its downtrend while experiencing downward pressure coming from the increasing oversupply of crude oil in the global market.
The never-ending bearish trend in the global market of crude oil is still underway. Yesterday, at the end of the trading day, the price of WTI crude oil declined below $45 per barrel, Masterforex-V Academy reports.
In particular, at the ned of the American trading session, WTI (West Texas Intermediate) saw a 1.7% drop and broke through the $45/b support on its way down to new local lows. The trading day closed at $44,81/b. Masterforex-V Academy reports that this is the lowest price since March 19th, 2015.
Despite the fact that Chinese authorities have been doing their best to save the local stock market from seen an even deeper crash, there efforts have been inefficient and uncoordinated and have failed so far.
Yesterday, on August 4th, the Chinese government held an emergency summit together with the leading financial experts in China. The Prime Minister urged the expert to work out an efficient solution to cap the crash until it is too late. At the same time he insists on tighter cooperation between the People’s Bank of China, the Chinese Ministry of Finance as well as stock market regulators and major banks.
There are several weeks until Apple is going to introduce a new series of mobile devices – iPhone 6s and 6s Plus. That is why more and more web sources keep on posting rumors and sneak pics of the would-be devices.