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Sunday, 23 October 02:21 (GMT -05:00)

Stock and commodities markets

Gold And Silver: Daily Market Outlook. April 10th 2012



Investors keep monitoring the situation in Italy and Spain . The Spanish Premier is making steps to try and restore investors’ confidence through budged spending cuts. In the meantime, the ECB keeps supporting Italian and Spanish banks.






China’s trade balance surplus came as a surprise, thus exceeding expectations due to lower import and higher export. The Bank of Japan left the key interest rate and the bond purchase program unchanged yesterday. However, the central bank is expected to expand the QE program during the next meeting scheduled for April 27th.
Ben Bernanke says the US economy hasn’t completely recovered from the latest economic crisis. According to him, banks still need to replenish their reserves while “shady banking” presents considerable risks.
Alco is the first of the Dow Jones companies to publish its quarterly report. It is expected to show a 4-cents-per-share loss. In general, analysts anticipate an overall 0.6% income decline in Q1 2012. It should be noted that last Friday the demand for US T-bonds increased amid poor employments stats and the uncertainty in advance of quarterly reports.
As expected, the market of physical gold saw extra demand yesterday after Indian jewelers went back. Experts anticipate a 27% decline in India’s silver import.
According to the Commodity Trading Department of Masterforex-V Academy, if an H1 price bar closes below 1652, it may trigger the bearish scenario down to 1645-1644. At the same time, if it closes below 1643, this will suggest a deeper retracement down to 1630-1625. Otherwise, the rally will resume. The closet levels of resistance are 1675-1680.
As for silver, once the price fails to consolidate above 31.90, it may trigger the bearish scenario with probable targets around 31.70, 31.50. If the price does consolidate below 31.51, the downswing may reach 31.25, and even 31.0-30.90. Alternatively, if an H1 price bar closes above 31.90, the rally may reach 32.0, 32.25, and maybe 32.50.





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