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Gold And Silver: Daily Market Outlook. April 9th 2012

Gold And Silver: Daily Market Outlook. April 9th 2012

 

 

Friday’s US employments stats came out much worse than expected. Despite the economic growth, the rate of employment (especially in the public sector) keeps declining. Analysts are divided over the level that the rate of unemployment will reach in late 2012. At this point, investors are looking forward to corporate quarterly reports in order to estimate the near future of the US economy.
 

 

 

 

 

 

Japan’s balance of payments report came as a surprise, thus showing a decent surplus. The GDP forecast for Q1 2012 is +1.7% (y/y). Analysts expect the Bank of Japan to abstain for extra stimuli during the current meeting, which is to end tomorrow. However, it is said that during the next meeting scheduled for April 27th the central bank will be forced to announce new measures.
 
China’s PPI came out worse than expected, thus confirming the economic slowdown. The inflation and consumer prices reports exceeded the forecast considerably. The growing consumer inflation may prevent the People’s bank of china from proceeding to further economic stimulation.
 
Indian jewelers have finally gone back to work after 3 weeks of protests in exchange for the government’s promises to consider the jeweler’s demands concerning the taxation of non-brand jewelry. Some experts say that the recent strike cost jewelers $4B of unmade profits. India’s current account deficit reached the highest level since 1949 in Q1 2012.
 
Iran confirmed the resumption of the nuclear talks with the West. Another round of the talks is planned to be held in Istanbul later this week.
 
According to the Commodity Trading Department of Masterforex-V Academy, today gold will probably continue its downtrend down to 1630, and maybe 1625-1620. On breaking below the level, the price gets a chance to reach 1600. However, if the support stays unbroken, the price may rebound and test 1650. In order to resume the rally, the price will have to break and consolidate below 1646. The closest targets of the bullish scenario are 1665, 1675.
 
As for silver, the price broke below 31.75, which suggests that it is ready to resume the downswing. A re-consolidation below the level will confirm the intension. The targets of the bearish scenario are 31.50, 31.25, 31-30.90. If silver fails to consolidate below 31.75, there is high probability that of a rally up to 32.0. The rally will be resumed only if the price consolidates above 32.0. In this case, the price may reach 32.25-32.50.

 


 

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OPEC Fights USA’s Shale Oil, Not Russia?

 

At tis point, the biggest event in the global oil market is the latest OPEC summit. This is believed to be the major reason why crude oil prices keep on going down. Well, it is hard to disprove this supposition since the price started instantly falling down after the OPEC announced its decision to remain its oil production unchanged at 30 million barrels a day. This took place during the latest summit in Vienna on November, 27th.

Publication date: 16 December 12:17 PM

OPEC: Preserving Oil Production Isn’t Aimed Against Any Particular Nation

 

The Secretary General of the OPEC says the OPEC’s decision to leave their oil production volume unchanged is not aimed at hurting any particular country, including Russia and Iran. This is what Market Leader reports.

Publication date: 16 December 05:26 AM

Sanctions and Low Oil Prices Lead to Major Consequences for Russian Economy

It is not a secret that all those Western sanctions imposed on Russia by the USA and its Western allies used to be considered with a smile by most Russian politicians. Now we can see that the consequences are getting more and more serious and Russian politicians do not want to smile anymore. The projections become gloomier amid depreciating oil prices. Apparently, the Russian economy, which is heavily dependent on the export of oil and natural gas, couldn’t but feel the outcome, Masterforex-V Academy reports.

Publication date: 16 December 02:47 AM

Samsung Works on A9 Processor for iPhone 7

 

Several web sources report that Samsung, the world-famous tech giant from South Korea, is currently working on the next-generation processor for future Apple devices. In particular, it is said that the new processor is called A9 and it is going to be used in the next version of iPhone, which is probably going to be named iPhone 7, Market Leader reports.

Publication date: 15 December 11:30 AM

Russian Expert Says Ruble Collapse Will Trigger Economic Collapse In Russia

 

As you probably know by now, the latest OPEC summit, which took place more than a week ago, ended up with the OPEC members abstaining from cutting down on their oil production, there leaving it at 30 million barrels a day in total. Apparently, this has been one of the key drivers pushing oil prices down to new multi-year lows.

Publication date: 13 December 05:26 PM

Crude Oil Prices Go Below $62/b

 

The negative correlation between the supply and demand in the global oil market seems to keep on exerting downward pressure on oil prices around the globe. In particular, the Commodity Department of Masterforex-V Academy reports that the global oil supply is still growing as oil producers abstain from cutting down on oil production amid shrinking global oil demand backed by an economic slowdown. With that said, Market Leader reports that the average price of crude oil is down again. It is currently below $62/b. This is the lowest oil price seen since the latest global crisis.

Publication date: 12 December 04:50 PM

US Stock Indexes Decline on Weak Figures from China

 

On Monday, December 8th, the USA’s major stock indices went down in value after China published disappointing economic figures, Market Leader reports. The thing is that a couple of days ago, China revealed its trade balance figures for November. According to it, the country’s import went sharply down by 6,7% relative to October’s value. Apparently, the figures indicate weak consumer demand in China. At the same time, the export also declined by 4,7%. According to Masterforex-V Academy, the latest figures may give us to understand that the Chinese government is about to start more active stimulation of the national economy.

 

Publication date: 11 December 02:50 PM

Fitch Downgraded Global GDP Forecast By 0,1%

 

The international rating agency known as Fitch Ratings has just downgraded its forecast for the global GDP growth in 2014, 2015 and 2016 as opposed to the similar prediction made in September, Market Leader reports. 

 

In particular, the financial experts working or Fitch Ratings assume that the global GDP is going to remain unchanged this year at the level of 2,5% while the growth rate in 2015 and 2016 are expected to reach 2,9% (+0,4%) and 3% (+0,5%) respectively.

Publication date: 09 December 07:59 AM

US Stock Indexes Gain Value After Fed’s Announcements

 

The US stock index futures are still going up in value. The tendency has been underway since yesterday, when the Fed’s Janet Yellen gave everyone to understand that the probability of interest rate hikes within the cope of the next 2 FOMC meeting is close to zero.

Publication date: 08 December 10:16 PM

HTC Will Release Windows-Powered Hima Dvice

 

Last week, several web sources reported that the Taiwanese manufacturer of computer electronics known as HTC is going to introduce a new mobile device named Hima. On top of that, the device is going to come have several implementations, Market Leader reports.

Publication date: 08 December 08:39 AM