Gold And Silver: Daily Market Outlook. April 9th 2012
Mon, 09 Apr 2012 08:10:00 +0400
Friday’s US employments stats came out much worse than expected. Despite the economic growth, the rate of employment (especially in the public sector) keeps declining. Analysts are divided over the level that the rate of unemployment will reach in late 2012. At this point, investors are looking forward to corporate quarterly reports in order to estimate the near future of the US economy.
Japan’s balance of payments report came as a surprise, thus showing a decent surplus. The GDP forecast for Q1 2012 is +1.7% (y/y). Analysts expect the Bank of Japan to abstain for extra stimuli during the current meeting, which is to end tomorrow. However, it is said that during the next meeting scheduled for April 27th the central bank will be forced to announce new measures.
China’s PPI came out worse than expected, thus confirming the economic slowdown. The inflation and consumer prices reports exceeded the forecast considerably. The growing consumer inflation may prevent the People’s bank of china from proceeding to further economic stimulation.
Indian jewelers have finally gone back to work after 3 weeks of protests in exchange for the government’s promises to consider the jeweler’s demands concerning the taxation of non-brand jewelry. Some experts say that the recent strike cost jewelers $4B of unmade profits. India’s current account deficit reached the highest level since 1949 in Q1 2012.
Iran confirmed the resumption of the nuclear talks with the West. Another round of the talks is planned to be held in Istanbul later this week.
According to the Commodity Trading Department of Masterforex-V Academy, today gold will probably continue its downtrend down to 1630, and maybe 1625-1620. On breaking below the level, the price gets a chance to reach 1600. However, if the support stays unbroken, the price may rebound and test 1650. In order to resume the rally, the price will have to break and consolidate below 1646. The closest targets of the bullish scenario are 1665, 1675.
As for silver, the price broke below 31.75, which suggests that it is ready to resume the downswing. A re-consolidation below the level will confirm the intension. The targets of the bearish scenario are 31.50, 31.25, 31-30.90. If silver fails to consolidate below 31.75, there is high probability that of a rally up to 32.0. The rally will be resumed only if the price consolidates above 32.0. In this case, the price may reach 32.25-32.50.
Crude oil keeps on going down in value. At this point, both WTI and Brent prices have been going down for 3 months in a row. As stated in the previous forecast, crude oil reached $50/b in July, which was followed by a market plunge all the way down to $41/b.
The global market of crude oil keeps on crashing as the U.S. Dollar is going up in value and the global oversupply of crude oil is still growing amid lower demand for it. At the same time, the U.S. crude oil inventories are getting more massive, which is an other bearish factor exerting downward pressure on oil prices.
Gold and Oil Prices Plunge As Chinese Yuan Sees Devaluation
Sensational data coming from China have been affecting financial market so far. Amid the devaluation of the Chinese Yuan, commodities are going down in value as well, including gold and crude oil, Market Leader reports.
In late July – early August, crude oil resumed its downtrend again. In particular, the prices crashed all the way down to January’s lows. The price of a barrel of Brent oil is now fluctuating around $49-$50, which is twice as cheap as 12 months ago.
According to the analysts of KGI Securities, which have been sharing relatively reliable insider information regarding Apple products, now claim that the production of Apple iPhone 6s and Apple iPhone 6s Plus is going to be delayed, the Hi-Tech Department of Market Leader reports.
The never-ending downtrend in the market of crude oil is still underway, Market Leader reports. As the oversupply is going bigger and bigger and the demand for crude oil is still at its lows, crude oil is going down in value. In particular, WTI oil dropped down to $43,27 per barrel at the end of Monday’s trading session.
OPEC Planning Another Emergency Summit As Oil Prices Crash
OPEC doesn’t deny the possibility of holding another emergency summit in the near future. At this point, OPEC members are reported to be discussing the issue. According to Masterforex-V Academy the major reason why OPEC is planning the summit is the fact that oil prices resumed its downtrend while experiencing downward pressure coming from the increasing oversupply of crude oil in the global market.
The never-ending bearish trend in the global market of crude oil is still underway. Yesterday, at the end of the trading day, the price of WTI crude oil declined below $45 per barrel, Masterforex-V Academy reports.
In particular, at the ned of the American trading session, WTI (West Texas Intermediate) saw a 1.7% drop and broke through the $45/b support on its way down to new local lows. The trading day closed at $44,81/b. Masterforex-V Academy reports that this is the lowest price since March 19th, 2015.
Despite the fact that Chinese authorities have been doing their best to save the local stock market from seen an even deeper crash, there efforts have been inefficient and uncoordinated and have failed so far.
Yesterday, on August 4th, the Chinese government held an emergency summit together with the leading financial experts in China. The Prime Minister urged the expert to work out an efficient solution to cap the crash until it is too late. At the same time he insists on tighter cooperation between the People’s Bank of China, the Chinese Ministry of Finance as well as stock market regulators and major banks.
There are several weeks until Apple is going to introduce a new series of mobile devices – iPhone 6s and 6s Plus. That is why more and more web sources keep on posting rumors and sneak pics of the would-be devices.