Heroes of Ukraine

«Market Leader» - news and previews making you rich.

Friday, 24 February 22:37 (GMT -05:00)



Business And Politics News

US Banks Passed Stress Tests


 

US bankin gnews. Stress tests for banks may be called one of the key moments of this week. On Tuesday FRS announced the results of stress tests for banks. Reports show that the majority of large-scale US banks are able to fulfill their obligations in extremely non-favourable economic circumstances. The situation may then develop in the following way:
  • Unemployment growth to 13%
  • Price drop by 50%
  • Drop of housing price by 21%

In such a case, the loss of 19 largest banks would amount to 534 bln. dollars. Despite considerable drop of predicted capital, 15 out of 19 holding banking companies will keep their capital four times higher than its normative value.

According to Aleksei Afanasiev, the head of the Department of Portfolio Investments of Masterforex-V Academy, last week’s macroeconomic data was mostly positive:
1. Retail sales rose by 1.1% in February, taking into consideration seasonal fluctuations. In comparison to February 2011, sales have risen by 6.5%. January sales have risen from 0.4% to 0.6%.

 

график 

 

2. Industrial production remained the same. Capacity ratio is falling. It has dropped by 78.7% or by 1.6 points from the average since 1972. Its value is 18.3% lower than before crisis. Capacity ratio in January has been lowered from 78.5% to 78.8%. Industrial output did not change in February. Market consensus was slightly worse than expected.
 

график 

 

3. Reports of Philadelphia FRS about national production volume slow minor increase in January. Current activity index in March amounted to 12.5 and showed the increase by 2.3 basic points, which is the maximal point since April 2011. General business index remained almost the same in March and amounted to 20.2.

4. Weekly unemployment claims have dropped to 351 000. The four-week moving average is close to the lowest point since the beginning of 2008.

 

график 

 

5. Consumer sentiment index dropped to 74.3 in March from 75.3 in February, which is lower than market consensus. Consumer’s general sentiment is rather weak and does not show certain signs of recovery. Small business index slightly rose in February. It has risen form 93.9 to 94.3, which is the 6th rise in a row. However, the index remains at a rather low point due to slow economic growth.

Rally, which started since the beginning of the year, is getting weaker and casts pressure on investors’ psychology. We are currently observing overbought market, and there remains the only question: “will the future correction amount to 3-5% or 10-15%, or something else?”. We recommend redistributing the portfolio, for we believe that aggressive buying at current points are inappropriate.

 

график

 

You are free to discuss this article here:   forum for traders and investors

 

Add to blog
Got a question? – Ask it here »
 

USA's Ultimatum to NATO: Spend More on Defense

The USA doesn’t seem to want to quit the NATO. However, they are fed up with financing the lion’s share of the alliance.
 
The Pentagon’s ultimatum to the rest of the NATO says:  Either you start spending more money on defense or we start reconsidering our participation in the alliance.
Publication date: 21 February 07:21 AM

Russia Captured the Crimea Because of Obama's Indecisiveness, Trump Says

Donald Trump keeps on making Russia unpleasantly surprised. If a couple of months ago they used to welcome Trump’s victory and hope to make friends with the USA, now they start thinking that maybe Hillary Clinton could have become a better option for Russia as the U.S. President.

 

 
Publication date: 21 February 06:35 AM

Fed Chair Janet Yellen Says Delaying Interest Rate Hikes Is Unwise

According to the Chair of the Federal Reserve, it would be unwise to keep on delaying interest rate hikes. The other day, Janet Yellen told the Board of Directors of the Federal Reserve that they might consider another interest rate hike during the forthcoming FOMC meeting.
 
Publication date: 20 February 11:25 AM

The Guardian Questions Relations Between Trump and Putin

According to a number of political observers, including those working for The Guardian, the relation between the USA and Russia has been begging many questions ever since Donald Trump moved to the White House.

 

 
Publication date: 20 February 05:21 AM

New Secretary of the Treasury Says No to Canceling Sanctions against Russia

Even despite the fact that Donald trump unexpectedly become the 45th President of the United States, and he seems to be more loyal to Russia than any U.S. leader over the last couple of decades, Russia has still been failing to find a common language with the USA.
 

 

Donald Trump started his presidency with unpopular decisions. Some of his policies are not welcomed by politicians from both parties, not to mention mass media, secret services and millions of U.S. citizens. Maybe Putin was hoping that Trump would start helping Russia implementing its imperial ambitions despite the public discontent in the USA. But those hopes now seem to be broken. The sanctions will stay effective until Russia gives the Crimea back to Ukraine. That’s the standpoint put forward by Trump’s administration.
Publication date: 20 February 12:03 AM

Trump Leaves Putin Without Key “Trump”

The dialog between Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump is following an unexpected scenario. It’s unexpected for Moscow. The Kremlin seems to have lost their key “trump” card in the talks with Washington.

 

 
According to some military experts, even the most unbiased Russian media ignored a sensational statement published by Reuters. To be more specific, Reuters claimed that during the recent phone call to Washington, Putin told Trump that he was ready to discuss the possibility of extending the agreement to cut nuclear arms. The agreement was signed in 2010 in Prague and will expire in 2020.
Publication date: 19 February 03:22 PM

Trump Wants Big Deal with Russia. What May Come out of It?

It’s seems like Donald Trump doesn’t mind creating some kind of an alliance with Vladimir Putin. Is so, can he succeed or will he become another U.S. president fooled by Putin. This is the question a number of international experts are trying to answer.
 

 

For now, the details of the plan are vague. The current ambiguity existing among the representatives of Trump’s administration hints at this fact. Even when the USA's Permanent Representative to the United Nations demanded for the condemnation of Russia’s aggression in Ukraine, Donald Trump seemed to still have some hope for making friends with Putin. At the same time, he wouldn’t dare say something like ‘the USA is as blood-thirsty as Russia’.
Publication date: 19 February 01:48 PM

Scotland Is Against Brexit

The House of Commons of the British Parliament decided that Prime Minister Theresa May should fulfil the people’s will expressed during the Brexit referendum in summer 2016 and launch the Brexit procedure to quit the European Union. This means that the British government is allowed to start the negotiation with Brussels over the terms and conditions quitting the European Union for good.
 
Publication date: 19 February 05:22 AM

Senate Prepares a Draft Law Forbidding to Cancel Anti-Russian Sanctions

Several members of the U.S. Senate led by ben Cardin and Lindsey Gram prepared a draft law designed so as to make the White House provide the Congress with a detailed explanation if at some point in the future the U.S. Presidents decided to cancel the sanctions imposed on Russia. On top of that, 120 days after the explanation is provided, the Congress will decide whether to support this initiative.
 
Publication date: 16 February 12:16 PM

Putin's Chances to Improve Relations with Trump Are Close to Zero, Experts Say

Some experts say that Putin has almost zero chances to reach mutual understanding with Trump. First of all, they remind us that over the first 10 days of his presidency, Donald Trump managed to create as much uncertainty around US-Russia relations that as no other president has ever created even within the first 100 days of their presidency.

 

 
Publication date: 16 February 11:07 AM