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Friday, 26 August 13:23 (GMT -05:00)



Business And Politics News

US Banks Passed Stress Tests


 

US bankin gnews. Stress tests for banks may be called one of the key moments of this week. On Tuesday FRS announced the results of stress tests for banks. Reports show that the majority of large-scale US banks are able to fulfill their obligations in extremely non-favourable economic circumstances. The situation may then develop in the following way:
  • Unemployment growth to 13%
  • Price drop by 50%
  • Drop of housing price by 21%

In such a case, the loss of 19 largest banks would amount to 534 bln. dollars. Despite considerable drop of predicted capital, 15 out of 19 holding banking companies will keep their capital four times higher than its normative value.

According to Aleksei Afanasiev, the head of the Department of Portfolio Investments of Masterforex-V Academy, last week’s macroeconomic data was mostly positive:
1. Retail sales rose by 1.1% in February, taking into consideration seasonal fluctuations. In comparison to February 2011, sales have risen by 6.5%. January sales have risen from 0.4% to 0.6%.

 

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2. Industrial production remained the same. Capacity ratio is falling. It has dropped by 78.7% or by 1.6 points from the average since 1972. Its value is 18.3% lower than before crisis. Capacity ratio in January has been lowered from 78.5% to 78.8%. Industrial output did not change in February. Market consensus was slightly worse than expected.
 

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3. Reports of Philadelphia FRS about national production volume slow minor increase in January. Current activity index in March amounted to 12.5 and showed the increase by 2.3 basic points, which is the maximal point since April 2011. General business index remained almost the same in March and amounted to 20.2.

4. Weekly unemployment claims have dropped to 351 000. The four-week moving average is close to the lowest point since the beginning of 2008.

 

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5. Consumer sentiment index dropped to 74.3 in March from 75.3 in February, which is lower than market consensus. Consumer’s general sentiment is rather weak and does not show certain signs of recovery. Small business index slightly rose in February. It has risen form 93.9 to 94.3, which is the 6th rise in a row. However, the index remains at a rather low point due to slow economic growth.

Rally, which started since the beginning of the year, is getting weaker and casts pressure on investors’ psychology. We are currently observing overbought market, and there remains the only question: “will the future correction amount to 3-5% or 10-15%, or something else?”. We recommend redistributing the portfolio, for we believe that aggressive buying at current points are inappropriate.

 

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Saudis Are Dumping Oil Prices Again

More and more experts working in the oil industry start discussing a new wave of price dumping initiated by Saudi Arabia. That thing is that a couple of weeks ago, the Saudis dropped their oil export prices to Asian countries by 0.7-1.3 dollars per barrel.

 

 
Publication date: 22 August 12:21 PM

On Some Aspects of Brexit

As you probably know, London is getting ready for the Brexit after the people of Great Britain chose to quit the European Union during the Brexit referendum held on June 23rd 2016.  

 

 
Publication date: 26 July 07:27 AM

British Banks Get Their Ratings Cut After Brexit Referendum

Shortly after the results of the Brexit referendum were announced, Standard & Poor's Global Ratings made several steps aimed at cutting the ratings of multiple British banks. This was done in order to show the world that the economic risks in the United Kingdom are growing and the entire British banking system is now in jeopardy.
 
Publication date: 14 July 04:28 AM

BOE Predicts Volatility In British Markets

According to Mark Carney, Governor of the Bank of England, the Brexit-related risks have already started implementing themselves. That’s why he predicts increased volatility in the local economy and financial markets.

 

 
To be more specific, the BOE Governor assumes that the risks associated with the UK’s decision to quit the European Union are already there and affecting the entire economic and financial system of Great Britain. This is what is said in the recent report on the UK’s financial system, which is released twice a year by the Bank of England. The thing is that the Brexit is eventually going to trigger a long-term period of economic and financial uncertainty in the United Kingdom, which will make the UK adapt to a new reality.
Publication date: 13 July 04:14 AM

Brexit Delays Fed's Interest Rate Hike Until 2018

As expected by many international experts, the Brexit referendum results have had a serious impact on many of those international processes. According to Bloomberg, this is going to be the key reason for the Federal Reserve to delay another interest rate cut until 2018.

 

 
Publication date: 12 July 05:43 AM

Scotland Will Exit UK Before Brexit, J.P. Morgan Experts Say

According to the analysts of J.P. Morgan, one of the biggest banks in the USA and the entire world, Scotland will hold a referendum to quit the United Kingdom and get complete independence. By 2019, the local authorities will have introduced their own national currencies to replace the British Pound. This is what The Daily Telegraph reports with reference to Michael Barr, who is the the leading expert at J.P, Morgan.

 

 
Publication date: 12 July 05:01 AM

Soros Predicts EU Disintegration After Brexit

According to George Soros, the world-famous billionaire and investor, the Brexit, which stands form the Great Britain’s exit from the European Union is nothing but the worst nightmare coming true. He says that after the United Kingdom finally leaves the European Union, the disintegration of the E.U. is going to be just a matter of time.
 
Publication date: 09 July 08:30 AM

Experts on How U.K. Is Going to Leave the E.U.

As you probably know, during the recent referendum held in the United Kingdom on June 23rd, 2016, the people of Great Britain decided to quit the European Union. This is a truly historical event capable of changing the economic and financial situation in Europe. At this point, the British government is busy solving a number of urgent issues, including the EU membership.

 

 
Publication date: 06 July 04:36 AM

Fitch Cuts U.K.'s Long-Term Credit Ratings

As you probably know, on June 23, 2016, the United Kingdom held the so-called Brexit referendum to decide whether the folks want to stay in the European Union. As the result, they decided to quit the EU. So, the Brexit scenario is underway and is already affecting Great Britain’s economic prospects.
 
Publication date: 06 July 04:05 AM

London Officially: 75 Percent for European Union

Results of the referendum held in the business center of London have been processed.

 

City men are against Great Britain’s exit from the EU. This is demonstrated by vote in London City, where 75 percent of voters have said a firm “no” to Brexit.

 

Publication date: 25 June 03:24 PM