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Thursday, 22 June 03:56 (GMT -05:00)



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Zbigniew Brzeziński: Without USA World will Face Chaos


US news. The person of Zbigniew Brzeziński is not to be explained to those interested in geopolitics and global economy. These days this respectful elderly man occupies the position of one of the heads of the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), probably the most authoritative American group of external policy experts. Former National Security Advisor during the presidency of Jimmy Carter (from 1977 to 1981) and author of such popular books as “The Grand Chessboard” (1997) and “Second Chance: Three Presidents and the Crisis of American Superpower” (2008), he is still highly demanded. What is more, he is among the advisors of the current head of the White House Barack Obama and among the people that are shaping not only American, but also global international policy.

Let us remind that Zbigniew Brzeziński never hid the fact that America’s archenemy is the USSR, whereas his own enemies – communists. He did his best for the collapse of the Soviet Union, having convinced America’s leadership to support Afghan mujahiddins in their fight against Soviet Army, as well as having taken numerous dissidents of Eastern block countries “under his wing”. He has introduced the idea, later followed by the USA, that Russia will never manage to regain imperial status without Ukraine, as well as other original thoughts (for example, the necessity to expand NATO to the east by means of Poland, Romania, Czech Republic, Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia, and other countries), rather many of which have been lately expressed by the famous political technologist.

Publication of Zbigniew Brzeziński’s new book and related confessions

As explained by traders and investors of Masterforex-V Academy, the patriarch of big-time politics, who sets the trends of global development, has recently released a new book “Strategic Vision: America and the Crisis of Global Power”, which has been followed by a series of interviews to such editions as The Guardian, The Financial Times, The New York Times, Forbes, as well as European editions (French, Polish, Russian). These interviews depict Mr. Brzeziński not only as an ordinary person and a politician who dreams about US leadership in the new world. Everything is much more complicated: President Carter’s grey figure has changed his role from American patriot to the protector of global stability, timeless values, and life on the earth.

For this purpose, Zbigniew Brzeziński may refer to critical comments about his own country – the USA:
its external politics: “…for the past 20 years we have spent the unique credit that has been historically granted to us as a result of the collapse of the Soviet Union… We had an opportunity to reshape the world, but it resulted in a more uneasy and complicated situation than before.” However, speaking about the wars led by America for the last 10 years, the political technologist expressed various complaints. For example, he supposes that Afghan has lasted for too long (over 10 years), Iraq war is criticized for payment of expenses by means of external borrowings, whereas Libyan war is fine (quickly, no losses, and dividends are the same). Brzeziński suggests applying nuclear deterrent policy to Iran, just as it used to be with USSR and then China. The professor clearly understands that modern world has become much more complicated than 20 years ago. However, he keeps diplomatically silence about the fact that his hegemon (the USA) is armed only with old methods that were used in the Cold War or during the times of Bush Jr. and Condoleezza Rice; Brzeziński hints on working on a new algorithm;
and internal politics: “However, for the last two decades there have happened a number of events that are worth regret. First of all, America has neglected its intrastate development. We have let social inequality to become deeper in the society. If in 1990 the wage of companies’ chief executives used to be 70 times higher than the wage of average American, the current difference is over 325 times. This has lead to the negligence of social justice – the fundamental basis of a stable country.” Although Zbigniew Brzeziński claims to be sympathetic with the followers of “Occupy Wall Street” movement, he recalls failures of August movement in London, claiming that this may give a lesson to the USA. Those who were light-hearted to bring instability to somebody’s home have discovered that the chaos may boomerang to their homely world and destroy it. This is the reason why the far-reaching analyst gave rather reserved comments about Arabic revolutions. When similar issues were happening in Georgia, Serbia, and Ukraine, he was more enthusiastic;
US educational system: brilliant intellectual Brzeziński has to admit, “I have to acknowledge that American people are densely ignorant. They do not have a clue about the outer world.” He fairly understands that this is an unacceptable position for the country that is targeting at so-called planetary mission;

Who will be at the top if not the USA?

Is it possible that a person, who has moved heaven and earth for the USA to become the way it is, has reconsidered its life principles, recognized his country’s inconsistency, and become a cosmopolitan? Certainly, not. Zbigniew Brzeziński keeps being persuasive and logical when explaining (sometimes with hints) that if the USA loses the position of a global leader, nobody will catch the palm of victory. China will not be ready for this for at least twenty years, and the rest (EU, Russia, and India) are afraid of any responsibility and are absolutely deprived of leadership skills. As a result, the world will face power vacuum, chaos, and anarchy, with dominating regimes of dictatorship (as Augusto Pinochet), religion (as modern Iran), or pirates (as Somali, for example):
what does this prove? In such circumstances, the words of the old-timer of American external politics are to be understood not as US concession of its inability to fulfill its leadership duties, but as an appeal to all other (civilized) countries to come to their senses and help (probably in a material way) the slack hand of Washington to hold the Stars and Stripes of world hegemon.

Experts’ comments

“The publication of Brzeziński’s new book certainly is the political event that directly influences the world of forex, stock exchanges, investment,” said a leading financial expert of Canada Evgeny Olkhovski in his interview to “Market Leader”. 2 main conclusions can be made:
1. The USA has been and currently remains the leading world country, whose global influence is getting weaker every year. Zbigniew Brzeziński’s book shows reflections about the reasons for current trend and chaos as a possible alternative to it.No matter if it is true or not – every political analyst, just as any ordinary person that is far from political issues, will have his own answer to Brzeziński’s ideas.
2. For US internal use Brzeziński’s words may be considered as an appeal to vote for a democrat candidate during the next elections, in other words, for Barack Obama. The current head of the White House, just as his advisor, appeals to reducing the country’s social inequality (tax for the rich), investing into American infrastructure, transport, healthcare, and education. He is in favour of balanced (in other words, rather peaceful) external politics – in one word, for everything that will enable the weary white-headed eagle to regain strength and rise. As Zbigniew Brzeziński said, “Obama is a clever person, and he knows what is what”.

“Market Leader” and Masterforex-V Trading Academy hold a questionnaire at Forex forum: do you think that without USA the world will face chaos?
· yes, as the collapse of any system (the Roman Empire, Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth, the USSR, or Yugoslavia) is followed by chaos;
· no, the USA is the main gendarme of the modern world, which is getting weaker every year;
· that’s not interesting to me.

 

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