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Wednesday, 24 May 05:35 (GMT -05:00)



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Zbigniew Brzeziński: Without USA World will Face Chaos


US news. The person of Zbigniew Brzeziński is not to be explained to those interested in geopolitics and global economy. These days this respectful elderly man occupies the position of one of the heads of the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), probably the most authoritative American group of external policy experts. Former National Security Advisor during the presidency of Jimmy Carter (from 1977 to 1981) and author of such popular books as “The Grand Chessboard” (1997) and “Second Chance: Three Presidents and the Crisis of American Superpower” (2008), he is still highly demanded. What is more, he is among the advisors of the current head of the White House Barack Obama and among the people that are shaping not only American, but also global international policy.

Let us remind that Zbigniew Brzeziński never hid the fact that America’s archenemy is the USSR, whereas his own enemies – communists. He did his best for the collapse of the Soviet Union, having convinced America’s leadership to support Afghan mujahiddins in their fight against Soviet Army, as well as having taken numerous dissidents of Eastern block countries “under his wing”. He has introduced the idea, later followed by the USA, that Russia will never manage to regain imperial status without Ukraine, as well as other original thoughts (for example, the necessity to expand NATO to the east by means of Poland, Romania, Czech Republic, Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia, and other countries), rather many of which have been lately expressed by the famous political technologist.

Publication of Zbigniew Brzeziński’s new book and related confessions

As explained by traders and investors of Masterforex-V Academy, the patriarch of big-time politics, who sets the trends of global development, has recently released a new book “Strategic Vision: America and the Crisis of Global Power”, which has been followed by a series of interviews to such editions as The Guardian, The Financial Times, The New York Times, Forbes, as well as European editions (French, Polish, Russian). These interviews depict Mr. Brzeziński not only as an ordinary person and a politician who dreams about US leadership in the new world. Everything is much more complicated: President Carter’s grey figure has changed his role from American patriot to the protector of global stability, timeless values, and life on the earth.

For this purpose, Zbigniew Brzeziński may refer to critical comments about his own country – the USA:
its external politics: “…for the past 20 years we have spent the unique credit that has been historically granted to us as a result of the collapse of the Soviet Union… We had an opportunity to reshape the world, but it resulted in a more uneasy and complicated situation than before.” However, speaking about the wars led by America for the last 10 years, the political technologist expressed various complaints. For example, he supposes that Afghan has lasted for too long (over 10 years), Iraq war is criticized for payment of expenses by means of external borrowings, whereas Libyan war is fine (quickly, no losses, and dividends are the same). Brzeziński suggests applying nuclear deterrent policy to Iran, just as it used to be with USSR and then China. The professor clearly understands that modern world has become much more complicated than 20 years ago. However, he keeps diplomatically silence about the fact that his hegemon (the USA) is armed only with old methods that were used in the Cold War or during the times of Bush Jr. and Condoleezza Rice; Brzeziński hints on working on a new algorithm;
and internal politics: “However, for the last two decades there have happened a number of events that are worth regret. First of all, America has neglected its intrastate development. We have let social inequality to become deeper in the society. If in 1990 the wage of companies’ chief executives used to be 70 times higher than the wage of average American, the current difference is over 325 times. This has lead to the negligence of social justice – the fundamental basis of a stable country.” Although Zbigniew Brzeziński claims to be sympathetic with the followers of “Occupy Wall Street” movement, he recalls failures of August movement in London, claiming that this may give a lesson to the USA. Those who were light-hearted to bring instability to somebody’s home have discovered that the chaos may boomerang to their homely world and destroy it. This is the reason why the far-reaching analyst gave rather reserved comments about Arabic revolutions. When similar issues were happening in Georgia, Serbia, and Ukraine, he was more enthusiastic;
US educational system: brilliant intellectual Brzeziński has to admit, “I have to acknowledge that American people are densely ignorant. They do not have a clue about the outer world.” He fairly understands that this is an unacceptable position for the country that is targeting at so-called planetary mission;

Who will be at the top if not the USA?

Is it possible that a person, who has moved heaven and earth for the USA to become the way it is, has reconsidered its life principles, recognized his country’s inconsistency, and become a cosmopolitan? Certainly, not. Zbigniew Brzeziński keeps being persuasive and logical when explaining (sometimes with hints) that if the USA loses the position of a global leader, nobody will catch the palm of victory. China will not be ready for this for at least twenty years, and the rest (EU, Russia, and India) are afraid of any responsibility and are absolutely deprived of leadership skills. As a result, the world will face power vacuum, chaos, and anarchy, with dominating regimes of dictatorship (as Augusto Pinochet), religion (as modern Iran), or pirates (as Somali, for example):
what does this prove? In such circumstances, the words of the old-timer of American external politics are to be understood not as US concession of its inability to fulfill its leadership duties, but as an appeal to all other (civilized) countries to come to their senses and help (probably in a material way) the slack hand of Washington to hold the Stars and Stripes of world hegemon.

Experts’ comments

“The publication of Brzeziński’s new book certainly is the political event that directly influences the world of forex, stock exchanges, investment,” said a leading financial expert of Canada Evgeny Olkhovski in his interview to “Market Leader”. 2 main conclusions can be made:
1. The USA has been and currently remains the leading world country, whose global influence is getting weaker every year. Zbigniew Brzeziński’s book shows reflections about the reasons for current trend and chaos as a possible alternative to it.No matter if it is true or not – every political analyst, just as any ordinary person that is far from political issues, will have his own answer to Brzeziński’s ideas.
2. For US internal use Brzeziński’s words may be considered as an appeal to vote for a democrat candidate during the next elections, in other words, for Barack Obama. The current head of the White House, just as his advisor, appeals to reducing the country’s social inequality (tax for the rich), investing into American infrastructure, transport, healthcare, and education. He is in favour of balanced (in other words, rather peaceful) external politics – in one word, for everything that will enable the weary white-headed eagle to regain strength and rise. As Zbigniew Brzeziński said, “Obama is a clever person, and he knows what is what”.

“Market Leader” and Masterforex-V Trading Academy hold a questionnaire at Forex forum: do you think that without USA the world will face chaos?
· yes, as the collapse of any system (the Roman Empire, Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth, the USSR, or Yugoslavia) is followed by chaos;
· no, the USA is the main gendarme of the modern world, which is getting weaker every year;
· that’s not interesting to me.

 

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Macron Will Shift the Balance of Powers in the Normandy Format in Favor of Ukraine

For those of you who don’t know, the so-called Normandy format was created to resolve the difficult situation in the East of Ukraine. France is one of the participants. As you know, Emmanuel Macron has recently won the presidential election in France. This means that he is going to become the successor to Francois Hollande as President of France, participating in the Normandy format as the French representative.

 

 
Publication date: 17 May 08:48 AM

Stratfor Gave Prediction for the next 3 Months

The other day, Stratfor released another quarterly prediction for the global geopolitical situation.
 

 

According to the report, the USA will try to settle the nuclear dispute with North Korea. Europe will be waiting for the results of the presidential election in France. Russia will dive even deeper into the local problems. The OPEC will extend the Vienna Accord aimed at cutting oil production.
 
Publication date: 10 May 10:26 AM

The Price of Defeating North Korea May Be Too High

These days, more and more experts start talking about a possible war against North Korea. However, they also say that the price of defeating North Korea may be too high for the USA and its allies.

 

 
For now, North Korea seems to have made considerable progress in creating nuclear arms, which is something that worries the entire world, especially as North Korea keeps on making harsh statements and threatening the USA, South Korea and Japan. The recent test launch of ballistic missiles in North Korea are now treated as wake-up call and real threat. Theoretically, there is a threat that North Korea may hit American military facilities located in Japan and South Korea. As the US Navy is moving closer to the Korean peninsula, international observers are talking about the possibility of another armed conflict between North and South Korea, even though both of them are still at war with each other.
Publication date: 26 April 01:16 PM

Sixteen Structural Reforms Is the Cost of the Next IMF Tranche to Ukraine

Anders Aslund, a Swedish economist and a Senior Fellow at the Atlantic Council, commented on the current and future cooperation between the IMF and Ukraine. He claims that Kiev will have to implement at least 16 structural reforms in order to get another tranche from the International Monetary Fund. He also explained why the IMF is still cooperating with Ukraine.

Publication date: 26 April 11:01 AM

Putin Underestimated Ukrainians When Invading Ukraine, Atlantic Council

American private institution Atlantic Council assumes that Vladimir Putin underestimated the Ukrainians when invading Ukraine.
 

 

They say that the hybrid war started by Russia in Ukraine has been going on for the 4th year. There were times when nobody believed that Ukraine would hold on even for 4 weeks. The thing is, the Crimea was annexed without any fight, which made international experts believe that Ukraine was weak and completely dependent on Russia. This stand point used to be popular in Moscow as well. Some Russian politicians expected a complete victory in a couple of months, but back than Ukraine was vulnerable after the revolution, which lead to the end of Yanukovich’s regime, while the temporary government was lacking legitimacy to seriously resist Russia. Back then, Russia got a chance to occupy the rest of Ukraine. Vladimir Putin seemed to be encouraged by the success in the Crimea.
Publication date: 26 April 08:37 AM

Experts on Statements Made by Russian Officials about Russian Economic Recovery

International experts have commented on the recent statements made by several Russian officials about some economic recovery in Russia. They say that the weak economic growth isn’t backed by higher standards of living in the Russian Federation.

Publication date: 23 April 02:05 AM

USA Today Names the Reasons Why the USA Is Concerned about the Situation in Ukraine

USA Today has named the reasons why the United states should be concerned about the armed conflict in the East of Ukraine.

 

Previously, US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson asked his European colleagues why American taxpayers should be concerned about the situation in Ukraine. The answer came from his French colleague, who said that the United States should be interested in a strong Europe. On top of that, there are some other reasons why the USA shouldn’t stop thinking about Ukraine.

Publication date: 21 April 12:00 PM

Trump's Plan on Syria: Russia to Stay in Syria, Asad Has to Leave

At this point, several media sources, including Associated Press, report they know the details of the offer brought by Rex Tillerson to Moscow during his official visit. Now, everyone seems to be wondering what exactly Rex Tillerson and Sergey Lavrov discussed during their meeting in Moscow.
 

 

First of all, the sources claim that the USA is ready to unite forces with Russia to destroy the ISIS once and for all. Secondly, Bashar Asad has to quit anyway. He will be even allowed to go to Russia or Iran to avoid prosecution. Thirdly, a temporary government need to be established in Syria to back stabilization and holding a democratic election in Syria. Russia can stay in Syria to back security but they shouldn’t interfere with the local politics.
Publication date: 18 April 11:34 PM

Today's Russia-US Relations Are Worse Than During Obama’s Administration

At this point, the bilateral relations between Moscow and Washington are even worse than they used to be during Obama’s administration. This is what President Putin thinks on the matter.

 

 
Even though the Russian president thinks so, he hasn’t commented on the details of this degradation in the bilateral relations between the 2 superpowers. He assumes that the level of trust between the United States and the Russian Federation has dropped, especially on the military level.
 
Publication date: 18 April 11:05 PM

Will North Korea Become Another Syria for the USA?

The latest events in Syria made many international observers change their mind regarding President Trump. The current conditions also show that getting rid of North-Korean leader Kim Jong Un may also become a major goal for President Trump.

 

 
The news that U.S. aircraft carrier Carl Vinson suddenly reversed and moved to the Western part of the Pacific Ocean in the direction of the Korean Peninsula attracted the interest of the international community. Given the 59 missiles launched to hit a Syrian airbase a couple of weeks ago, this maneuver of the aircraft carrier does raise a lot of concerns.
Publication date: 18 April 03:29 AM