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Stock and commodities markets
S&P500: panic is over – market is positive
Mon, 26 Dec 2011 05:13:00 +0000
Exchange news, S&P500. Market overview and current week (Monday, December 26) forecast from the Department of Masterforex-V Trading System .
Last week was positive and showed the growth of S&P500 index, having met the market statistics of market growth on the eve of Christmas. At present technical bottom line is at the point of 1250.00, the top line is at the point of 200-day average:
It can be observed from cluster charts that at the beginning of the week sellers’ pressure was broken by consumer purchase, which resulted in further rising trend at the market:
Weekly market profile shows that buying zone is over 1235.75, and selling zone is below 1210.50; in between these zones lies the field of action of the channel:
All sectors of the market have had a rather even rise; industrial sector is at the top of the list because of a 3-month leadership in terms of statistical data. This signals about the generally positive market atmosphere:
The index of investors’ uncertainty (or index of “fear”) VIX currently is absolutely positive, which can be clearly seen from the positive spirit of investors:
In spite of this, stock market liquidity always falls drastically during the period of Christmas and New Year holidays. This can result in the general rise of market volatility.
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Saudi Arabia Raises Oil Prices for Asian and European Buyers
Saudi Arabia is reported to have raised oil prices for Asian and European importers. This is confirmed by Bloomberg.
Market Players Play Oil Price Guessing Games
The international market of crude oil seems to be in panic. Yet, the panic is snowballing. The reason for that is said to be the statement made by Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak about the possibility of easing the OPEC+ deal in June 2018, which came as a surprise to the international trading community.
USA Outpaces Russia to Become World’s Biggest Oil Producer
In March 2018, the United States outpaced Russia in terms of oil production. This means that the USA is now the biggest producer of crude oil in the world.
Crude Oil Goes Above $80/b, Morgan Stanley Improves Oil Forecast
On Thursday, May 17th, Brent oil exceeded $80/b for the first time in 3,5 years. The last time the price reached this level was on November 25th, 2014.
Oil Prices At $79/b, Russian Ruble Still Weak. Why?
On Tuesday, May 15th, Brent oil reached $79/b. Strange as it may seem, the Russian Ruble hasn’t reacted to this so far, even though this always has been a positive sign for Russia’s national economy and currency heavily reliant on crude oil prices. Moreover, the currency has been going slightly down for a while despite being backed by higher oil prices.
Russia Isn’t Interested In OPEC+ Anymore
Right in advanced of the forthcoming OPEC+ summit some experts doubt that Russia is still interested in the agreement. The strategic objectives of the OPEC+ deal are almost reached. The imbalance in the global oil market has almost been eliminated. The cost of a barrel of Brent oil has increased by more than 100% since late 2016. At this point Brent oil is trading above 70 dollars per barrel. On Q1 2018, the OPEC made 400 million dollars a day more than 12 months before.
Who Loses and Wins from Oil Prices At $70/b?
High oil prices have two sides of one coin. On the one hand, while oil producers are benefiting from today’s oil prices over $70/b, this seems to be creating an extra pain for oil consumers worldwide. What exactly has been happening to oil-producing economies?
American Oil Export to Europe Quadruples Thanks to OPEC+
As predicted by many experts, the OPEC+ agreement has been favoring American shale oil producers. The export of American oil to Europe has quadrupled. The thing is that the agreement between the OPEC and Russia-led non-OPEC oil producers pushed oil prices high enough to make American shale oil production profitable again.
Russian Oil Production Is About To Peak and Start Declining in the Near Future
According to Finanz, with reference to the International Energy Agency, Russia has been benefitting from its oil production and export for decades. However, this is about to change in the future since the Russian oil industry is about to see its production peak, which means it will inevitably start going down further down the road.
US-China Trade War Drops Oil Prices
The trade war between the United States and China is underway. Yet, it has already led to some consequences. For example, international experts say that this war has been the reason for the current weakness of the global market of cryptocurrencies. At the same times, Finanz experts claim that this trade war has dropped oil prices.
