Wed, 05 Oct 2011 15:54:00 +0400
Exchange news. The issue of possible default in Greece is extremely topical. Last weekend Athens officially claimed that the country cannot cut its expenditures, as required by the agreements. This, in its turn, casts doubt on the possibility of Greece to receive mutual assistance credit from European Central Bank.
This discouraging claim was followed by a less shocking claim from the European Union management. To be more specific, this claim concerned a temporary suspension with deciding to provide another money tranche to Athens. It had been expected that the decision of providing financial aid would be announced during a special meeting on October 13, but it has just been revealed that there will be no meeting. The decision of providing money trance is expected to be announced during the summit of European Union leaders on October 17.
Unfortunately, this proves that this year Greece is unable to change budget deficit according to the requirements. However, Athens keep worsening their condition by discussing economy measures with ECB, as their main target is to receive 8 mln. Euro from the credit that was confirmed in 2010. Another wave of recession is likely to start because of complicated and lasting negotiations between ECB and Greece. Quotations of Brent and WTI oil futures have immediately reacted to this by a more than 1 dollar decline.
Perspectives of economic growth influence oil price. At this point, signals about countries’ negative development are many. It concerns countries in Europe, the USA, and developing countries, such as China, which eased the loss of world economy in 2008.
Brent grade oil prices are currently checking the support of 101 dollar per barrel, as explained by the analytics of Forex Academy and Masterforex-V Futures Trade and Stock Exchange. This is the fourth attempt for 5 months. Passing the level will make it possible to reach the target of 90 dollars per barrel.
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On July 21st, Standard & Poor's, a well known international rating agency headquartered in the USA, upgraded Greece’s credit ratings – both in national and foreign currencies. The ratings went 2 steps up from CCC- up to CCC+, with a stable forecast, Market Leader reports.
Since today, July 20th, Greece has finally reopened its banks. This happened after the banks were close for 3 weeks. At the same time, the VAT and consumer prices are expected to be increased.
After a stunning stock market crash in China, the Chinese government is doomed to learn a lesson and understand that a governmental intervention may trigger market panic, thereby escalating the situation. With that in mind, any such intervention may do more harm than good and therefore looks inefficient.
The majority of the Greeks participating in the nation wide referendum on July 5th said NO to the offer made by the troika of lenders in exchange for further financial support. This provoked a wave of indignation among financial experts and plain folks.
Some of the world’s biggest financial institutions predict the so-called Grexit (stands for Greek exit from the Eurozone) after the recent referendum conducted over the weekend. The referendum resulted in the NO answer to the offer made by the troika of lenders, Market Leander reports. It is reported that the list of banks predicting the Grexit includes JPMorgan Chase & Co, Barclays, Societe Generale and the Royal Bank of Scotland .
Yesterday’s referendum in Greece resulted in “NO” to the troika of lenders. This means that Greece is not going to practice deeper austerity and perform structural reforms required to get further financial aid from the ECB / EU and the IMF, not to mention debt restructuring.
According to the recent report on Greece published the IMF, the Greek financial system urgently needs 50 billion EUR to survive the current crisis and to revive the economy. Still, in order to do that, Greece need to meet certain conditions put forward by the lenders. It is reported that if there is such a financial aid, 36 billion EUR of it will come from European funds.