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Monday, 27 March 04:40 (GMT -05:00)



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Can the military campaign in Libya be considered the beginning of World War III?

Libya

 

As soon as the Western powers started a military campaign in Libya against Muammar Kaddafi, the famous Russian politician Vladimir Zhirinovski called it the beginning of World War III. His statements are usually not considered as serious, but this time numerous experts seem to share this point of view. For example, last year George Soros said that the current situation resembled the 1930s. Probably he meant not only the Great Depression but also the series of local conflicts (Spain, Abissinia etc) preceding World War II.
 

Should we really get ready for another major war? If so, then what is going to be the reason: energy carriers like crude oil or something else?

 
Is it all about crude oil?
10 years ago Professor Michael Clair said that the reason for World War III would be crude oil, natural gas, food and pure water. He must have second sight:
·         80% of Libya’s oilfields are located in the Eastern part of the country, the place where the anti-Kaddafi movement arose and was rapidly supported by the UN Security Council. The country also possesses considerable natural-gas reserves. Under the Libyan part of the Sahara there is a huge storage of fresh water 60 trillion cubic meters, a second Baikal. The Libyans built a 4.2km pipeline in order to be able to use the water.
·         Every 3rd civil war around the world is waged in the countries rich in energy sources. For comparison sake, 20 years ago these countries made up only 20% of all the armed conflicts.
·         Over the last 30 years there has been 3 full wars in the Persian Gulf, which is one of the main sources of crude oil for the rest of the world.
·         Crude oil is the most powerful weapon. Just remember 1973 when the OPEC refused to supply oil to the US and Europe because they supported Israel in the Arab-Israeli conflict, thus making the Western powers find themselves in a rather difficult situation. Crude oil is the blood of the contemporary economy. The lack or absence of oil may suspend the work of major industrial enterprises, affecting even a country’s agricultural sector, which means lack of food.
It should be reminded that during WW2 Japan attacked Pearl Harbor because the US had suspended the oil supplies, thus trying to punish Japan for the intervention in China. As the result the US found itself involved into a major war in the Pacific Ocean while Japan invaded Indonesia (at that time it was a Dutch colony rich in crude oil).
 
The best way to come out the crisis?
Masterforex-V Academy experts assume that the expected WW III is an attempt to come out of the crisis:
·         The Great Depression in the USA wasn’t over in 1932 when Roosevelt came to power.The US economy managed to reach the previous production volume only when the country got involved in the 2nd World War.It means that the war industry saved the national economy. The Dow Jones Index reached the pre-crisis value only after WW2.
·         The famous American analyst Charles Nenner, who predicted the collapse of the US housing and stock markets 2 years before it actually happened, anticipates another economic collapse and a major war, which will take place until the end of 2011. He says that the war will start when the Dow Jones Index value exceeds 13.000. Now it is around 12200.
The history of the humankind shows that wars are one of the most effective ways to come out of political and economic crises.
 
….or maybe it is about geopolitics?
 
Some experts say that the US wants to change the existing geopolitical situation. Edward Luttwak, an American military strategist and historian, says the world is coming back to the old bipolar world (as during the cold war). Only this time the USA opposes China:
 
·         The military campaign aimed at overthrowing Kaddafi is a serious blow for China, which used to have about 50 big-scale projects in Libya (from oil production to construction of roads). The military actions in Libya forced China to close almost all of the projects and evacuate 30000 employees. The Chinese authorities say the damage is estimated at hundreds of million yuan.
·         For many years China has been “conquering” the African continent on the sly. The developing Chinese economy needs more and more crude oil. That is why China has become a strategic partner of those countries that are rich in crude oil (Libya, Nigeria, Angola). In order to resist the Chinese expansion in 2007 the US created AFRICOM. 49 African countries joined it. Libya wasn’t one of them.
·         Hwo suffers most of all from the current (and future) armed conflicts in the Arab East? The Arabs themselves and the EU, another dangerous rival of Washington. The main part of the crude oil that is delivered in the EU, comes from the Persian Gulf. Italy used to produce 14M tons of oil a year and to pump 8Bcf of natural gas through the underwater pipeline called Greenstream. Do you remember Warren Buffet’s words about the inevitable collapse of Euro? Maybe he knows something that the global community still doesn’t know?
·         At the same time the US imports crude oil mainly from its neighbors on the Western hemisphere (Venezuela, Canada, Mexico), not from the Arab East. Those who anticipate WW3 say that it will take place in Asia and North Africa.
·         Syria may become the next country where the US will initiate mass protests (another country where the leader is not Washington’s puppet). Syria is the location of the only Russian naval base in the Mediterranean Sea.
 
Yet those who are going to start another major war, no matter what goals they pursue should remember Albert Einstein’s worlds: “I know not with what weapons World War III will be fought, but World War IV will be fought with sticks and stones”.
 
Market Leader and Masterforex-V Academy would appreciate if you could share your opinion on the matter:
Is there any probability of the Arab conflicts turning into World War III?
·         No, there isn’t. The threat of use of nuclear arms will cool the hotheads.
·         Yes, it is highly probable.

 

 

You are free to discuss this article here:   forum for traders and investors

 

Text: Alexander Dynnichenko
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Soros, Rockefeller and Other Billionaires Ask U.S. Government to Raise Taxes for Them

The State of New York’s richest citizens – including some of the world’s richest families such as Soros, Rockefeller, Disney and others – have signed a petition to ask the local authorities to raise the taxes for the super-rich.

 

 
The extra money allocated as the result of those tax hikes are offered to be spend on schools, infrastructure, support for the homeless and other important things. The billionaires say that it’s time to invest in the long-term economic attractiveness of New York.
Publication date: 25 March 06:02 AM

Polish Defense Minister Calls Donald Tusk a Traitor

Not so long ago, Poland found itself in the middle of another political scandal. The thing is that the Polish Minister of Defense accused President of the European Council Donald Tusk in a diplomatic betrayal. For those of you who don’t know, Donald Tusk used to be the Prime Minister of Poland.
 
To be more specific, Donald Tusk was allegedly cooperating with Vladimir Putin when he was the Prime Minister of Poland. They Defense Minister claims that the aim of this cooperation was to undermine Poland’s national interests after the Polish President’s airplane crashed in Russia in 2010. Apart from the President, there were 95 people on board, including a lot of high-ranking Polish politicians. Unfortunately, nobody survived the crash.
 
Publication date: 24 March 09:48 AM

Candidate Macron Is Against Tighter Relations with Russia

Emmanuel Macron is a former French Minister of Economy and one of the candidates of the post of the President of France.  He thinks that France should be moving forward to tighter relations with the Russian Federation.
 

 

During the pre-election debates broadcast by TF1, Emmanuel Macron showed that he wouldn’t make friends with Moscow if he elected President of France. He thinks that France needs independence and tighter cooperation with fellow EU countries. He wants to make France stronger and more independent based on responsibility and real European policies.
 
Publication date: 24 March 12:49 AM

Russia's Become More Influential in the Middle East, Stratfor Says

According to Stratfor, a US-based private analytic company, Russia has really become more influential in the Middle East.
 
According to the recent report released by Stratfor the other day, since the Russian federation has deployed its troops in Syria, it has been increasing its role in the entire region. Apart from helping Iran (shipping weapons) and Egypt (investing through Russian tourists), Russia has been actively participating in several regional disputes at the same time.
Publication date: 23 March 09:32 AM

Evgeny Kiselev on 3 Years of Russia's Crimean Shame

For those of you who don’t know, a couple of days ago, Russia celebrated the 3rd anniversary of getting back the Crimea, which was essentially annexation. Evgeny Kiselev, a famous Russian journalist who later got the Ukrainian citizenship, decided to comment on the results of Russia’s annexation of the Crimea that took place 3 years ago.
 
Publication date: 23 March 04:27 AM

Europe Looks Helpless Under the Treat Coming from Russia, Experts Say

According to several experts, including Mikhail Samous, a military expert from Ukraine, at this point the entire Europe looks helpless when it comes to any possible threat coming from Russia.
 

 

To be more specific, Mikhail and his fellow experts assume that Europe has still failed to come up with efficient ways of resisting the kind of a hybrid war Russia has been waging in Ukraine, and even some other places around the world.

Publication date: 22 March 08:43 AM

Trump's in Search of Peaceful Conflict Resolution in Donbass

Donald Trump met with Angela Merkel. There are reported to have spent a lot of time discussing the situation in Ukraine.
 

 

Having talked to Angela Merkel, Donald Trump agreed with the idea of peaceful resolution of the Donbass conflict. However, he also gave everyone to understand that some other scenarios are possible as well. He said that ideally they are looking for the ways and means to resolve the conflict in a peaceful way.
Publication date: 22 March 02:54 AM

Queen Stats Brexit

From now on, the British government is allowed to start the so-called Brexit, i.e. the process of quitting the European Union for good. The thing is that the previously approved document aimed at starting the Brexit procedure is now signed by Queen Elizabeth II. This means that the British government has got a green light to implement the people’s will expressed during the corresponding referendum on June 23rd, 2016. From now on, there is no stopping Theresa may from starting the Brexit.

Publication date: 20 March 11:28 AM

It’s Necessary to Prevent Russia from Influencing the Balkans, Theresa May Says

According to British Prime Minister Theresa May, the Balkan states are in jeopardy. This threat is coming from Russia. That’s why she thinks that European leaders should establish tighter cooperation with those Balkan states that are not EU members to avoid letting Russia spread their influence over those states.

Publication date: 20 March 06:12 AM

Angela Merkel's Gonna Shed Some Light on the Situation in Ukraine for Donald Trump

Several Western online sources report that Angela Merkel is willing to tell Donald Trump all the truth about what’s really going on in Ukraine. The thing is that German observers assume that Donald Trump knows relatively little about the situation in Ukraine in general and the East of Ukraine in particular. That’s why they assume that their Chancellor seems to think that it’s now here responsibility as a European leader to shed some light on the situation and help the U.S. President understand the real state of affairs in the region, especially in the Crimea and Donbass.

Publication date: 20 March 05:35 AM